The Intel Bet Teaser

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If you own any tech stocks or index funds, what I'm about to show you could be the difference between missing out on a generational opportunity or potentially multiplying your man's money several times over. Two of the most powerful people in America, Donald Trump and Nancy Pelosi, are both making the exact same bet right now. And it's not on Nvidia or Microsoft or SpaceX, no. They're betting big on a stock that's already up 550% in less than a year. But the real move might just be getting stuffed. And I made a bullish video on the stock, and I'm not going to hold you hostage. It's Intel. On August 8th, 2025. This vertical blue line here was the point, and I'll explain why in a second. And people said, You're mad, the stock's done nothing for like years. I'm like, yeah, exactly. That's why I'm interested. And my promise to you is this that by the end of this video, you'll understand the three-part framework I use to analyze stocks, political stocks too, and you'll know exactly whether Intel might belong in your portfolio or not. You're going to be able to make that decision on your own. You won't have to listen to some loon on YouTube. So if you want to figure out why, say $1,000 invested here in the last Intel video would today be worth $6,500. And no, I'm not telling you this to brag. I'm telling you this because I want you to understand that I do my homework, that I have a rules-based system that I borrowed from my Wall Street mentor. So I don't chase hype. I don't care that actually Pelosi just bought it, but I know other people will. And therefore, this feeds into our system, our repeatable system, the same framework on flashing signals on Intel. Again, met no, right now. But don't take my word for it. When I walk you through the framework on how to analyze the police political stocks, it's sort of a three-legged stool. And if all three legs are strong, you can sit on it with a lot more confidence. And the framework's very simple. I'll put it on the screen for you here. One, there's the fundamental case. Is it actually a good business or is it just hype? Pillar two is the risk assessment, what could go horribly wrong. And then three, you need that catalyst timeline, that specific event that could move the stock and why and when. And we're going to apply all three to Intel step by step. But first, let's talk about why the most powerful people in America are suddenly obsessed with this one stock. And before we dive into that deeply, because it's going to be fairly information dense. So I'm going to give you a free research report that goes alongside this video. You can just download it, no credit card or anything. It's just completely free. Just go to phelixfriends.org/slash Intel and you get a full-blown free research report with everything and much more, actually, than we can cover in this video, because you know these videos have to be a certain length, otherwise, YouTube sort of wallops us around for making them too

Pelosi’s Intel Call Options Explained

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lengthy. So, what are these bets? Nancy Pelosi, her track record is insane. She is the best stock trader in the world. Forget Buffett, forget Barry. It's Nancy Pelosi. Well, actually, it's technically her husband, Paul. And apparently they don't talk about stocks or investments or sort of government insider information. And of course, we believe that because she is there to help the puppies and the kittens and the children. Yes, that was it. So here's what Paul Pelosi just did. He bought a huge batch of call options on Intel. Now, maybe you don't know what a call option really is. Let me make this really simple. Buying a call option is basically saying, I believe this stock is going to go higher, and I'm willing to bet money on it. It's like putting down a deposit on a house at a locked-in price. If the house goes up in value, you make a fortune. If it doesn't, you lose your deposit and nothing more. So how big was her bet? We're talking $6 million. It's not a casual, oh, let me see if Intel works out. It's a fairly serious kind of a play. And very importantly, she gave that trade almost an entire year to play out. So she's not saying Intel's gonna flip tomorrow. She's saying, I believe Intel is gonna be worth significantly more a year from now. And she wasn't buying a cheap lottery ticket either. She bought one of the most expensive kind of options you can, which generally is something you only do if you have a pretty strong conviction, I dare say, on it, which maybe you, maybe you, maybe she heard a thing down a corridor and then of course never mentioned it to her husband, Paul, because we believe that. And it's of course the truth, because everybody who works in Washington is there purely out of the good of their heart to make uh, you know, the kittens

Trump And The Government Stake

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better. Now, Donald J. Trump is also heavily positioned in Intel. But his involvement is even bigger. And if you're wondering how I know that, we actually have an app for that, Winston, my Golden Retriever, built an app, it's called the Winston app. I'll put a link down below and I'll give you guys a free trial to it if you want to check it out. Anyway, we we track all the politicians' trades for every major stock. Uh, and you can see exactly who's doing what. And if you want to see what uh the the the the the Donald is doing, here he is. And you can view his holdings and you can see his activity and you can see what he's buying and selling and so on, and we we update that uh obviously every single day as the data comes out. But the Trump administration did something historic. They made the US government one of Intel's biggest shareholders. We're talking billions of dollars of taxpayer money invested directly into Intel stock. It wasn't a loan or a grant or something, but actual ownership. So the government now owns about 10% of Intel. And then we have Donald's personal bet. So on top of the government position, Trump's personal trust has also been buying Intel, both company bonds and actual stock, multiple times, each worth some serious money. Now the Trump organization says these decisions are made by third-party managers. And of course, we believe that once again, because uh we are good people. Uh but here's the key thing: Trump's trust is not a blind trust. He signs the disclosure forms himself. He knows what's in there, um, but he doesn't talk to them about it. So why should you care? Why should you care these two politicians, most important people in the country, um, buying this stock? Because they have a crystal ball? No. It's because of what their bets reveal about the bigger picture. When the president of the United States and the most famous stock picking politician in Congress are both betting on the same stock, the government just bought 10% of the company. It tells you something about how important Intel is for America's future. And possibly for certain portfolios, obviously not the politicians, because again, I'm sure they're going to donate all profits to a kitten sanctuary.

The Three-Pillar Stock Framework

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So let's look at our first pillar. Pillar one is about the business. Forget about the politicians and and and all the good that they do. Uh, let's look under the hood. Is Antel actually a good business? And if I look honestly, in our app, um, it says to me it definitely is not. We have we have a score out of 100. Now we've given it a 13. So the numbers suck. On paper, this thing absolutely sucks. It's not making money, it's just uh spending less on RD, which is usually not a good thing. Um, revenue growth is there, but it's like 7% year on year, which is sort of ridiculous if you look at Nvidia or one of those guys. So why the heck would we be interested in it? For me, it's very simple. Because big money is interested in it, Wall Street's interested in it, they're buying the bloody thing. Do I need to really understand why? Honestly, you can if it's sort of a hobby or an itchy got a scratch, but it's actually not as important as you think. Now, they have done something quite cool of late, as I did actually dig into this so that you know I wasn't uh I wasn't gonna tell you just uh follow the money and and leave the video at 30 seconds. Uh, they did something that's called 18A, and it's Intel's newest, most advanced manufacturing process, and it's now in production, as they say, where I just came from. And why does it matter? Because it uses a brand new technology that no one's combined before. So actually, two technologies. One is called ribbon fit, um, which sounds weird and nerdy, and it's about transistors and stuff. Uh, but it's not that I pretend to understand what this really is about. But the second one is called power via, which sounds even more important than somebody even either been to Italy or did about three minutes of Latin, because via means path, right? Road. Now I'm told that normally the power lines and the data lines inside of a chip are sort of crammed together. They're like, why are you here? Why are you here? There is no space in here, you know? Uh I need space to express myself, not sort of thing. Um, and apparently it's like trying to run plumbing in electric through the same kind of, you know, path of tubing. This power via, which makes me want to eat some Italian ice cream, moves the power to the back side of the chip, which means the data lines have more room to breathe. They can express themselves better. And the result is it's a faster and a more efficient chip. Sounds kind of clever and a bit nerdy and sort of nobody really cares. But let's look at the money. Because Intel is a massive business, it's 50 billion in revenue, right? But what's more interesting than the numbers how the money is split up, because Intel isn't one business, Intel identifies as three businesses sort of stapled together. Business numero uno is PCs, that's the Intel bread and butter stuff. You go out, you buy a laptop, and it says Intel inside, and then you realize it's a laptop that's probably 10 years old, but apparently some people still buy them. Second business, data centers and AI. And that's the growth revenue, growth center here. And the growth here is 22%, which is pretty good. Why? Because AI is kind of where it's at. If you hadn't noticed, if you just came out of a coma, AI. Right? So, yes, everyone's excited about GPUs, which is what Nvidia makes, but someone also has to manage the whole system, and that's typically what Intel gets to do. And then the business number is the foundry.

Intel’s Weak Fundamentals And Why It Matters

SPEAKER_00 10:24

So this is the big bet. Intel builds chips for other companies. This is the business that is growing really nicely, but it is also losing money. And that's actually okay, because when you're building a brand new factory that costs billions of dollars each, you're gonna lose some money before you make it. Except Uncle Sam is feeding you some money, which is helping. It's sort of like opening, you know, five new restaurant locations at once. In the first year, you're gonna be you're gonna be struggling, but if the restaurants act good, then you're gonna make a ton of money in year two. So Intel is carving out a niche here or a niche, as you Americans apparently say, because I've been spending about a week in New York right now. And Nvidia owns training, building these clever LLM models up to you know gloriousness so that someone else can nick them, apparently. And NVIDIA owns that that's just not gonna go away. Intel isn't even trying to like compete with them. Intel strategy is different, it's actually fairly smart. They're betting on what comes after the training because once the models are so good, we no longer care whether it's a teeny tiny bit faster because who gives a hoot? Uh then it's about running them in the cheapest way possible. So AI will shift from building models to deploying models, running the bots, powering the search engines, AI agents, and you need, yes, still some of the GPUs NVIDIA makes, but you also need powerful CPUs to handle the data. And it's a lot cheaper. Actually, Nvidia is also making CPUs now. It kind of tells you what's going on here. And this is kind of the bread and butter for good old Intel. So it's sort of like if you think about car racing, if you're a car racing fan, put car racing in the chat down below. Nvidia builds the cool engine, but Intel is the the the pit crew, the track, and sort of traffic management. So as AI goes mainstream, you need all of it. Now, before we go really deeper into this, because you're probably sitting there now, okay, this information is kind of interesting, but does it really matter? Before you decide to buy this stock or any other stock, and maybe you're sitting on a bunch of stocks right now that are down and that are red, and you're really angry and frustrated and annoyed with that, and I totally get that, been there, done that. But I've already got my plan written out for the next 90 days, in fact, till the end of the year. I have literally a playbook written out, and I know exactly what I'm gonna be doing the next three months, the next six months, and beyond. And most people don't. So, what I want to do for you beyond this video is actually give you that playbook. Now, I could

The 18A Chip Tech Breakdown

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give it to you as a PDF file, but I also know that that wouldn't land because you'd read it and it wouldn't really sink in because you're not really understanding why. So, what I instead want to do with you is I want to teach you the playbook, I want to teach you my actual plan for the next 90 days live. We're gonna do that on this weekend for two hours. There's a link down below. It's completely free. It's just a free training at 90dayplaybook.org. 90dayplaybook.org, 90 dayplaybook.org. The link is down below in the description and also in the first comment. And you can click on that and you can grab yourself a ticket, and then all you've got to do is actually show up and be on time. I believe it's at eight in the morning Eastern time, New York time, because I I know that because I have to get up for it. Um so it'll work for you if you're in in in in in the Soviet republics of Europe or if you are in, you know, I'm not quite sure what uh thing we can apply to Britain. Uh, but you know, that that that island I was once great. That but that one, right? If you're there, if you're there too, you can also join because it'll work for your time zone. But I want to get into a bit more depth here for you. And it's important to understand all of the pillars. We just can't done one. We'll do two and three a little bit faster. I'll talk a little bit less uh nonsense. Um and it's important because most YouTube videos only tell you about the good stuff. And it's very dangerous. If you're gonna invest real money, you need to understand what could go wrong, you can understand the risks, and then you need to understand when you sell, if this doesn't work out. So, what could go wrong? Well, these guys have got to execute flawless execution for incredibly complex, complex technology is required. And making complex computer chips is pretty much the most complicated thing you can do in the world. Well, maybe apart from sending rockets to space or something, pretty much very, very, very, very and it has competitors because they want to be a big foundry. Well, TSMC has done it for 30 years. Nvidia allegedly tested Intel's manufacturing processes and we're sort of like lukewarm on it. Doesn't mean it's it's all over for Intel, but it just goes to show it's quite hard to gain these kind of customers' trust. They're also spending more than they make, which is uh, well, I mean the government does it, but Intel can't print money yet, although they're getting some money from the government. And then they're fighting against Nvidia on the AI front, the GPU front, AMDs on CPUs, and TSMCs on their foundry business, and they kind of have all these incredible competitors all at the same time. So I'm not saying this company is therefore definitely going to win. What I'm saying instead is there is a catalyst. And when I looked at Intel more than a year ago, last August, and we had this perfect textbook pattern here, and I'll explain it to you if you join me on the live training on Saturday, because it'll take a little bit of time to really break that down. We had another one here actually in April 2026. And I'm seeing that exact same pattern happening again up here. But again, it's really, really important to know what prices we're looking at, where we want to get in, where we want to get out. And I'll just show you transparently. Uh, I put out a list every week for uh for teaching purposes, and my students get to see that. Um, and you know, we had an entry at 134, sorry, 136, and then we have a stop set on this at either 115 or 97. That depends very much on your uh on your risk uh horizon. So these are not buy recommendations, these are not sell recommendations of those prices. You gotta understand the full picture of risk management in your portfolio and where your money is sitting and how heavily you already are exposed to chips and tech and everything else, because likelihood is you already own some Intel, or certainly its competitors through your index funds and pension portfolios and everything else. But there's something quite beautiful here. The US government, in my humble opinion, will continue to support a domestic semiconductor manufacturing industry. Why? Because they need it at home. It's like, look at the war. You see that plane that got shot down in the Iran? The pilot, the US pilot was thankfully all right. He said some weird drone swarm came towards him that looked like a jellyfish, right? Um, and no, he wasn't high. This is what he saw. So all of those drones of chips in them, all of those drones are run by AI systems, so it isn't actually a national defense kind of an issue. It isn't a let's build a better laptop because it matters. So we have a 10% government ownership. It creates

Intel’s Three Business Lines

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kind of a support under that stock, right? Um, there's the Biden Chips Act pumping money into it. That's how they got the 10%. Trump's got to own the stock. Pelosi owns call options. Again, different parties, both buy the same thing. And and of course, they might have access to, you know, the kind of committees that dish out money or, you know, defense spending or government spending. Of course, they would never use that, but let's just say hypothetically, that might sort of subconsciously seep into the brain of, say, Paul Pelosi or the people running the trust for Trump, who of course don't talk to him. They would not dare to, right? So it tells you tells you something about how the subconscious works, right? I think we've covered ourselves here, right? So what have we got? Fundamentals are improving, but not great. There are definitely some risks and execution, but the catalyst is just the government's underwriting the bloody thing. So how do we how do we invest in something like this? Well, generally speaking, I would never have a position initially that is larger than one to five percent. Just wouldn't do it because the risk you enter is just too great. And then I would have a definite exit plan that is automated, that sells at a certain price, locks in a profit, or locks in a in a small loss, so we don't get in a big loss, right? To me, all the fundamentals in the world are very, very pretty. They're very nice, they're lovely to read and look at. It's kind of interesting. But ultimately, what I look at are patterns in the stock. And once we break out of those patterns, I get interested, and I'll tell you why, because we saw the same pattern here, right? We broke out bigly. I see institutional money pouring in. Or if I go back a little bit further to our August video last year, and I'm not saying it's definitely gonna happen. I'm saying there is a likelihood it's gonna happen, and therefore I might want to participate in it, right? As we saw it here, we saw some massive institutional buying there, and as we broke out here, boom, we got a lot more buying on that day. And I know it's a red candle, but that's a confusing thing. That's actually a bullish candle, although it's a little hard to understand for some. So, what am I doing with this? So far, nothing. But it is on my watch list, it is on my potential buy list. I actually really like it. I just don't think my Intel order is triggered yet. Maybe it has, maybe it hasn't. I actually don't know that. Why? Because I set this up on a Sunday when the market's closed, and I don't really check it during the week because it makes bloody old difference. Like me looking at a chart doesn't move it. I already have done my homework, which is what I'd like to do on the weekends, and I'll teach you how we can do that and how you can do that, and how you can actually have a written, confident, happy plan where your risk management is now super tight, airtight, so these big losses become a near impossibility. Um, and that's the easiest thing in the world, actually, for me to teach you. And then, second, we look at how do we find these stocks that are up as beautifully as this one here, because it is nice to make money, isn't it? It's a very nice thing to make money, and um you know it's up, it's up very sweetly. And if you're in um in New York City, gosh, this place is uh compared to Europe, it's like probably three times more expensive. And it makes me realize, yeah, you you you really gotta you gotta put in some money here and you gotta protect it. What you bring in, you gotta really, really keep it, you gotta grow it, you gotta nurture it, you gotta treat it like a business because your portfolio is your business. You're a money manager. That's your full-time role. Except if you learn how to do it with skills, you can do it in like an hour or two. So if you want to learn that, come and join me at 90dayplaybook.org. That's like tomorrow or something, I think, by the time this video comes out. And I'll teach you. And you can ask me all the questions you want to ask me because it'll be live. Just be on time, show up, these rooms can get full, and then you can't get in,

The Free 90-Day Playbook Offer

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which is annoying. And I wish you tremendous success. I wish you a beautiful investing journey going forward, and that it might be more fun and less frustrating for uh for you because I've been there and I see it and I see the transit transformation in people who understand how this works now, understand the skills, and therefore make better decisions with more confidence and uh likely get to better outcomes. I wish you all.