FELIX PREHN DAILY MARKET NEWS By Goat Academy

Felix Prehn - ⚠️WATCH BEFORE YOU BUY THE DIP⛔ IF YOU OWN #PLTR #SOFI #NVDA #AMD #HOOD #TSLA + Stock Market News 02 December 2025 (Goat Academy)

Felix Prehn

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While everyone's freaking out about this AI bubble, you've got JP Morgan, the most important bank in the world. Just ask them, they'll tell you. Says the SP is going to hit$7,500 next year. You've got Morgan Stanley, the most important investing bank in the world. Just ask them. They'll tell you, saying AI demand is going to grow even faster. We're going to need more chips, we're going to need more energy. So that all seems quite bullish, right? And then you look at the market and it's like bitter up, bitter down, everyone's confused. Broadcom drops 4% yesterday. So what stocks, what sectors, what of your tech holdings are the place to be? So what I want to do here today is walk you through the charts of the big tech boys, your favorite stocks, because the charts will actually tell you where Wall Street's putting their money. Everything else is just noise, it's just Fugazi. So that's what we're going to do here. The tool I'm using is TradeVision. I'm a co-founder of TradeVision. There's an insane Black Friday deal in there. On there, you can take advantage of that if you wish, then have to. You can also just join the free information here. Um, so let's run through these: Nvidia, Google, Amazon, Meta, Tesla, Oracle, Palanti, AMD, Robinhood, SoFi. But we're going to kick us off with actually just the index. Just the plain old index, because if JP Morgan is right, and they tell you that they're always right, we're going to get at least a 10% rally next year. At least, right? Could be a lot more, could be a lot less, of course, which would be about average. But if you look underneath that data, you actually see that profits, so earnings, are actually growing at 13% just for the SP. And as you can tell, I'm on a laptop, I'm in a hotel room. So I apologize for the slightly basic setup here today. But if profits grew at 13%, typically the market goes around in line with profits. That's uh my crystal ball prediction for the year. That doesn't mean it's going to come true. You obviously realize that. But if you just look at the way the market's going and you look at the SP and you look at the fundamental structure of it, there are three things to understand. And the first is he has profits. The second, can I zoom in more on this? Font size. Yeah, yeah, let's go big. There is a system in place that actually virtually guarantees his profit in the long run. It's not a guarantee to year. This is my humble opinion that the market will trend up in the long run. And it does so for simple reasons. One is index funds. Every pension in the world puts their money into an index fund. The index fund buys what? It buys the SP 500. Now the SP 500 has some large companies in it. The top 10 companies are about 30 to 40% of that SP 500. So most of the money flows where? You put$100 into the SP 500. Therefore, the top 10 stocks are likely to keep going up more than the rest of the market. Does that make some sense? Then, secondly, the top 10 stocks buy their own shares. They're the biggest buyers of their own stock, which means what? Everyone always talks about how Bitcoin is limited in how many coins there are. Well, actually, shares, well, there are less of them every year because companies buy their own shares and they destroy them. They go in the incinerator. So there are less shares every year. And then the third part, which is a little bit opaque, is the options market creates a massive hedging buy flow whereby the market makers have to buy the SP futures to protect themselves. That's a bit complicated. But essentially, there are three key drivers that just keep pushing this market up and up and up and up and up. Now, will bad things happen? Will things collapse? Or we have some calamity crisis? A banker got greedy and spoils it all for us for a little while. Yeah, that's also guaranteed. But there are a lot of reasons to be long-term bullish. But the question is, what do you do now? What do you do going into 2026? So for that, let's look at some of our big boys and come to some conclusions on that level. Now, if you look at NVIDIA here, NVIDIA stock chart, right? The only thing I've got on the chart here is a yellow indicator, it's a yellow line. It's called the 50-day moving average line. It's the line of all lines, it's the only line that really matters for the traders. Now, most of the market are a lot of the market are traders, right? So they look at that line. If you're more of an investor, you want to look at the purple line here, the 150. Um, we're gonna look a little more short term, so we're gonna stick with the 50 for now. So we're below that line, right? Is that the end of the world? Well, it's a warning sign. It's a sign that the market's feeling a little bit wobbly. But then you look at my little blue box here and you can kind of see, well, we're basically in the same space we're in in July. So this hiccup around will AI keep growing? Will the Google TPU chips, you know, steal some of Nvidia's thumbnail, that sort of stuff? That's a little bit what the worry here is right now. So it's a little bit of a wobble. Now, I don't think it's the end of the world, but I'm just saying it is a cautious place to be. And I would suggest having some good risk management around that, right? So at the moment, this is no real buy signal from my perspective, but it also isn't, oh my god, it's all over. Now there's one other indicator in here that we have, which is called support and resistance. And this is institutional, that hedging flow I was talking about that nobody understands, and I get that, but I'm very lucky I've got three market makers on my mentoring team. And the support's quite low at 160, but the resistance also quite high at 200. So you basically have$30 either way as as move. So you kind of want to expect that if you're in NVIDIA, that it may go up or down by$30, right? There's some some some value in that, but some people will say, oh, it doesn't really tell me anything. The second thing you can look at is what are they, what's the big money actually doing? Where are they putting their money green here? Where are they believing? Uh and you can specifically also go into any stock and you can just type in, you know, NVIDIA. And you can see literally life what those guys are doing every single day. Well, go back to the last the last trading day. Or like if you record this while the market's open, that would be helpful. Actually, if you just type them the ticker symbol correctly, that would be even more helpful. There we go, let's go back to Monday. There we go. And you can see literally live what's happening here. You can look at the biggest trades, see what's going on there. But you can see a slight bearishness here. So the market, the big money is going, I'm sure about this one, right? And that's very useful sentiment information you can look up here in Trade Vision. There's a free trial to it, and there's a crazy Black Friday offer. If you look at Google, you know, the uh the the chip challenger suddenly, and that's a very bullish chart to me. Very bullish chart. Why is it a bullish chart? Because get a little yellow pen here. You had you have a gap up here, right? You trend higher. You get a second gap up here, you trend higher. And then yeah, you always sell off a little bit. That's typically what happens. It always goes up, down, sideways, right? It does a little bit. Pretty much every move of or every major move on any stock is always like that. Uh, and then you retest it and you go higher. But this looks very good. Why does it look very good? Well, think about it. Who's lost money on Google? There are three or four sad solds who are very good at buying the top of the market, but other than that, there is nobody who wants to sell because they want to eliminate that loss they have, right? They want to make up the loss. That's what happens if you have a lot of people who lost money on a stock and goes back to where they were at zero, they sell. It's just human psychology. So Google here looks very, very promising from my perspective. Institutional support resistance. Well, resistance sits at$330 here, which is pretty much exactly the top of the market three days ago. And we're about to approach the support at$312, and we're a few dollars above that. So we're kind of a little bit in the stuck in that zone. But to me, Google looks a lot more positive right now than NVIDIA. If you look at Amazon, well, that's a stock's been going sideways for a while. One of the reasons is that uh Jeff Bezos the Almighty keeps selling stocks to fund, I don't know what, his newfound fun lifestyle. There's a turnaround, right? No, it looks like a super superhero. Um, what do you see though? What do you actually see? Well, essentially it's a very, very long sideways action here, right? With the occasional blip out to the top and to the bottom. So, really, this thing is just going nowhere, and it's been doing that for a year. Now, go and check out Amazon's earnings, and you can have a look at like the way we capture that in here. And uh, Trade Vision also gives you live news alerts, by the way. So, literally on your phone you can select what stocks you want to get your news on. That's incredibly useful. And just look at their revenue growth, and it's insane. Yeah, the stock hasn't gone up at all. So to me, this is almost becoming a value play. Again, I'm not telling you to buy it, but to me, it's becoming almost a value play. And again, who's lost money on this? Well, again, these four people, uh, but very, very little resistance on the upside. So we break out, there's almost nobody there who wants to sell. So to me, again, this looks very, very promising. So a lot of big tech actually looks quite good if you just remove the panic and the fear-mongering for a minute. Now we look at mem mm mm meta, and that's probably very inappropriate, isn't it? Don't make fun of the stretteros. Yes, yes, yes, it's quite true. It's quite true. Yeah, I was wrong. I apologize. Doesn't mean I won't do it again, but I apologize. So what do you see with a chart like this? Again, so it's a thing here zigzags. So I don't always talk about the zigzags, and people always then think it must go up. No, it doesn't. It can go up or it can go down. You gotta watch out which direction it goes. But what you see on this one here is that that 50-day moving average line here goes flat. That's your first warning sign. It then trends down. We break down below it. That's warning sign number three here and number three, two, and number three there. And then what happens? Most of the time you get a fake out. But the fake out did not take out the previous highs. And what happens after the fake out? Disaster strikes, right? The Zuckerberg loses billions. He's like, oh no, I was planning on buying super yacht number nine and ten. I may have to postpone that by a week or two. Yeah, real pain there in billionaire land. So that's bad, right? And the 50-day moving average line is sloping down very, very harshly. So, yes, we got a little bit of a recovery here, but to me, this still looks very risky. Great business, but it still looks very risky from there. So the market is loving it. The big money is not flooding into this, right? Look at this recovery here. This recovery here. Who's actually buying that? Well, nobody, right? Look at the volume down there. Nobody's buying that. Zuckerberg's like, I'm not touching that. So I thought about something very inappropriate to say there, and I stopped myself, which I think I should congratulate myself for. Uh so what about Tesla? Well, what's Tesla done? Tesla has done a double top, right? Yeah, very, very clean slice of resistance there at about$470-ish. And it then dropped down or the gap down. 50-day moving average line flattens out. We're still below it. And right here, right now, if you get that musical reference, let me know in the comments. Um, you have hit that 50-day moving average line two days in a row. So it's resistance. That line at the moment is resistance. If I wanted to buy Tesla, I would wait till I'm above that resistance. I'm not telling you what to do, what's what I would do. Also, the recovery here, it's got very, very little momentum in terms of volume. The big money is going, eh, we don't really, we don't really get it. We don't really get it. We don't really know what these guys are doing. They're a bit crazy, they're building robots. These people are mad. And it might well be the greatest long-term play in the history, but the big money isn't buying it. And that's important. You can be you can be right, or you can rather you can find the greatest opportunity in the world, but if the big money doesn't buy it, then it remains an opportunity and it doesn't actually make you wealthy. So Oracle here has been on a Harakiri mission because uh it's uh leveraged to up here. Now, the founder is like 87 years old, so he probably just doesn't care anymore. He was just like, I'm just gonna take a lot of risk. If it works, brilliant, if it doesn't, I mean, who cares, right? I've only got that many years left. Um, that's kind of what's happening here. So we bounced off the support down there at 190. That will be the only positive thing I can say about this. But at the moment, this looks like a falling knife or a falling old guy. Uh so I'd be very careful with Oracle here. It's very unlocked. What about the Palantards? Well, as you probably know, if you've watched me for a little while, uh we started, I bought my first Palantir in 2021 at about$26 or something like that, which seemed like it was overpaying for quite a long time, and of course now it doesn't. So sometimes time cures all um all decisions. But what do I see here? I see the same thing that I saw on meta, right? So you see a 50-day moving average line that starts to go flat, recovers a little bit, fake out, gap down, it's going flat again, it's going down now. There's just not the momentum, there's just not the money flowing it into it that you really want to see. And even again on the recovery here, on weak volume. Now it was a holiday week, that explains some of it, but at the moment, this is just not looking that wonderful. And you do actually have a fair few bag holders now, right? All the guys who bought at these levels here, they might sell when you go back to zero. There's some people have that just that glorious timing, they buy up 200 and then it drops to 167, and they're gonna sell when it goes back to 200. So be a little bit careful with that. Um, we're gonna have a quick look at the dark pool data for Palantir, see what institutions are playing here. And very bullish. Interesting. That is actually kind of interesting. So there's some some large bullish trades uh up here, not huge, but large. So it's a little bit of sentiment watching there. Uh AMD is is it doing better or worse than Nvidia? I'd say slightly better, but it's still got a lid on it in the form of this 50-day moving average line. So we hit that again and again and again and again. So we are trending up still, but that's kind of the the barrier to breakthrough. So you really need to get, you really need to close at sort of 220, 225, I'd say, to be safe for this to kind of go back into bull territory right now. There's just that caution around it. And I think that caution might last a little while just because we all want to see more of the big tech companies going, we're making this much money on every billion we spend on these chips. That's where the market, where the disconnect is. So they're spending all this money and they're saying the demands there, but we're not really sure if the hundreds of billions they're gonna spend is gonna make them hundreds of billions down the road. That's the that's the caution here. Caterpillar is more of a real-world stock, right? Sort of infrastructure, construction, a bit of an AI play still, yeah, because all these machines are becoming autonomous. And I'm seeing that as an indicator that the whole sector is just a bit flat. It's a bit flat. There's some concerns about the economy. The manufacturing data data was terrible, like COVID level level terrible. Um, but part of me also says, well, this government wants to get essentially re-elected in midterms next year. And how are they going to do that if the market's falling? Right? So that's the that's the the non-money flow. That's just like the the macro, like the the president wants to pump the market. You can do that. How can you do that? You can just announce lower tariffs, you can just announce more stimulus money for everybody, you can just announce like less regulation, you know, build, build, build, that sort of stuff. And and and that I think is one of the things that's going to keep 2026, in my humble opinion, looking very, very sweet. Robin Hood here, it did um this sort of you know, M for murder pattern. Um, that's a joke. But again, the 50-day moving average line here, it's going sideways. So it's a warning sign. It's saying to you, put on your seatbelt. Right? It's had a tremendous run-up. It's been a great run-up. Nothing moves up in a straight line, right? We were looking at entry points down here. From there, you're up 133%. At one point, it was 190%. It's just your risk management sucked, so you didn't lock it in, right? So that's one thing I would definitely work on. And then last but not least, we've got SoFi here. And that actually looks quite good. That's quite a nice recovery. I'm not just saying that because I own some SoFi shares, which I do, uh, but because sideways action, right? A little bit of a breakout up there, a bit of a breakout there. Then here, start to go flat on the 50-day moving average line. We dropped pretty nasty and low, not good, right? And we are now above the 50-day, two green days in a row. Volume pipe picked up a little bit, still pretty low, but it was a holidays, I say. Um, but again, we're in a place where there are very, very, very few bag holders, right? Just these guys up there, and it's not a lot of them. So um, FinTech is gonna benefit massively from lower interest rates. President's come out and said, I've already picked my Fed chair, and I'm sure he is a low-interest loving monkey, right? And um that would be very good for Safi because think about it. Student rates. With a student loan, you're paying whatever percentage you're paying, interest rates drop. Now, your loan rate is usually fixed, so your incentive to refinance is very high. That would be the simplest way of putting it. There are many other advantages for a bank or a fintech company in terms of valuation multiples, but that would be the easiest way, I think, to understand that. So to me at the moment, this looks quite good. Resistance is at 30 from institutions, so watch out for that. So, what do we do here? In my humble opinion, we stay invested. Number two, we get smarter, we get better. How do we do that? Well, get better data, get better news, get the alerts, get yourself some trade vision magic. There is a free trial and there's a crazy offer. Um, and then the third thing I would do is just find somebody you want to learn from. Doesn't have to be me, doesn't have to be my mentors. But what I'm saying to you is our mentorship program called the Wall Street Protocol, we're gonna be pausing enrolments. We will not be taking new students for a while. That will probably start towards the end of this week because we have a capacity. We're like a school in a sense. There are only so many chairs in there of students that we can look after properly one-on-one. So, therefore, that's gonna happen. So, if you want to be part of this intake, then you might want to take some action. How do you take action? You book a free call with us. It's very simple. It's a free strategy call, it takes about an hour, half an hour. Um, you can ask us a lot of questions, we'll ask you a lot of questions. We will not pressure you to do anything because that's not what this is about. Um, we actually have the opposite problem. We'd like to help more people. Um, so it's more of a question of is it the right fit for you? Is it the right time for you? And everything else. So you can book that at feedxtrends.org slash freedom because my hope is it'll help you to get to freedom. And um the link is down below in the description. And if you made it this far in the video, I say thank you very much. I appreciate you watching. You got some value out of this, share with somebody else who might get some value out of this and stay calm, stay invested, and get smarter. By smarter, I mean more skilled. It's not about more gray matter. Like I would can't help that. There's only so much in there. But we can we can train ourselves to make smarter decisions. We can train ourselves to hold on to the profits uh rather than letting them slip away every single time something bad happens. And my hope is that in this cycle we're actually making an impact. So people will get better. So book yourself that call, photextrends.org slash freedom, and I wish you I wish you great success. Take care.