FELIX PREHN DAILY MARKET NEWS By Goat Academy
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FELIX PREHN DAILY MARKET NEWS By Goat Academy
Felix Prehn - The Global Collapse of 2026 (and how to Prepare NOW) + Stock Market News 05 November 2025 (Goat Academy)
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If you hold a 401k stocks, bonds, or real estate, whether it's in your retirement account, your savings, your investment portfolio, or even your home equity, what I'm about to reveal could either help you protect and grow your wealth or leave you financially miserable in the next 18 months. At least that's what Winston just told me here. He does all the research around here. A renowned economist who accurately predicted both the 1990 recession and the 2008 financial crisis using a 300-year-old historical pattern is now warning that 2026 will bring a market collapse far worse than anything we've seen. And here is why it should concern us. Warren Buffett, the greatest investor of our generation, is quietly exiting his investments. In fact, they also just sold a company called Home Services, a real estate business, and they reported a loss on that. Now, Buffett rarely sells unless there is some compelling reason. I'm Felix Breen, I'm a former investment bank and economist, and I've spent years studying how institutional money operates. I'm also the founder of the GOAT Academy, where we've talked to over 20,000 students, and I'm also the co-founder of TradeVision, where we provide news and data that's better than what most retail investors ever get. And I've dedicated my retirement to teaching regular investors, which is what I used to be, still am really, how to protect their wealth from the schemes and the financial engineering out there to help people enjoy their life. So for this video, Winston and I have done a lot of fact-checking. We've analyzed like the 18-year property cycle data. We've reached institutional investor behavior, we looked at 300 years of land value patterns, GDP ratios across major economies, and we also looked at what the smart money is doing. And it's not pretty. So, with the help from my research hand here, I believe we put together what might be the most important video that will make this year. So today I'm breaking down three critical things. First, the 18-year cycle that's predicted every major crash for 300 years, and why 2022 is the next peak. And second, why this collapse could be different. We're facing a perfect storm of debt, social unrest, AI, and all of that didn't exist in 2008, me out the last one. And then third, the exact positioning strategy you need to implement right now to protect your wealth and potentially profit from this massive shift. It's not a dream and gleam video, this is an opportunity video for those who have the patience to understand it. So let me start here. America's national debt is 37 trillion or 38 trillion or whatever it is right now,$266,000 per household. That's about six times the annual income for the average American. But here is what it makes it potentially catastrophic. The US pays$3 billion in interest every single day, which is$1.1 trillion per year just on interest. And if you think that's bad, well, look at what's happening in the bond markets. There are trillions and unrealized losses sitting in bank balance sheets because they bought long-term bonds at 2% and now they're at 6.00. So these banks are basically insolvent. A lot of American banks are insolvent. It's just that the Fed said to them, oh, just don't update your accounts, you'll be fine. But just for a moment, imagine if your personal credit card debt was 130% of your income. So say you're making$50,000 and you owe$65,000 on credit cards. And imagine that every single day, every single day, you are paying$150 just in interest before you ever repay a single cent. You can't pay it down. You can only make the minimum payment, and every month you have to borrow more just to pay the interest on what you already owe on those credit cards. That's where America is right now. And that's where your tax dollars are going. Now, this isn't the first time a major power has seen that kind of a situation. Let me show you three historic examples where this has happened before. And no, it isn't the Nixon shock. We have to go back a little bit further than that. The Roman Empire in 300 AD had massive military expensive, declining tax revenues, and their solution debased the currency. They reduced the silver content in their coins from 95% silver to just 5% silver over 50 years. What's the result? Hyperinflation, economic collapse, and the fall of the empire. The parallel today, well, the US is doing the same thing. They're just doing it digitally. They call it quantitative easing instead of coin clipping. But the mechanism is exactly the same thing. That was the Romans. Now, any Brits on the channel here, let me know down below in the chat. The British Empire, after World War II, well, after World War II, the Brits had a debt ratio, GDP to debt of 250%, way higher than the American ones right now. They tried austerity. They tried inflation. Eventually, they lost their reserve currency status to the US. The pound sterling went from being the world's dominant currency to a regional currency. It's pretty much irrelevant. Today the US dollar is facing the same threat from digital currencies. And then third and most relevant, that's why it's on my little slide here, 1971, the Nixon shock. The US was mining massive deficits on the Vietnam War and the great society programs. Foreign governments basically said, we would like our gold back. We're going to give you dollars, we want our gold back. So what did Nixon do? He said, let's temporarily end the gold standard. Temporarily. That's like inflation is transitory. So he made the dollar backed by faith, nothing but faith. So what happened? A decade of stagflation, high inflation, high unemployment, and economic stagnation. But if you owned assets, stocks, real estate, commodities in the 70s, you did fine. If you held cash or bonds, you got destroyed. So the pattern is clear. When governments face unsustainable debt, they inflate it away. And inflation is a wealth transfer from whom? From those who hold cash to those who own assets. So what's the solution today? Well, most people think we have options. Let me show you that we don't. Option one is to print more money. That's what we did in 2008 and 2020. The Fed printed like eight or nine trillion dollars worth of money. And what's the result? It's the inflation we've got right now. You print more money, we get more inflation. Your savings become worth less, your salary can't keep up, it destroys the middle class, the lower class is completely destroyed already. Option two, it's austerity. Cut the spending, balance the budget. Sounds responsible, right? Then it's politically impossible, right? Try telling voters you're cutting Social Security, Medicare, and defense spending by 30%. You'd be laughed out of the room. No one's gonna vote for you. And even if you could do it, the economic contraction would be catastrophic. We'd enter in a worldwide depression. So that isn't gonna happen. Option number three, well, you could default on the debt, just don't pay. Well, it would destroy the dollar's reserve currency status overnight. Every country holding US treasuries, China, Japan, Europe, they would dump them. Interest rates in the US would go into 20, 30, 40, 50%. The US would be locked out of all international credit markets. It's basically economic suicide. Never gonna happen. Option four, well, raise taxes. Even if you taxed every billionaire a hundred percent, took every penny they had off the Zuckerbergs and so on, you'd raise maybe five trillion dollars. That doesn't even cover, well, a sixth of the debt. And it's a one-time payment. You can't tax wealth that no longer exists, and the economic damage from confiscation would create a growth, it would reduce all future tax revenues, all innovation would leave the US. So that doesn't work. What about option five? This is what um the current president is talking about. Grow your way out of it. Well, you would need probably 6 to 7% GDP growth per year for about a decade. We haven't seen that since the 1960s when the country was built up after World War II. With an aging population, declining productivity growth, and massive debt overhang, I think this is fantasy. There is no traditional way out of this. Every conventional solution either doesn't work or it makes things far, far worse. There's only one path that actually makes sense, and it's the path that's already being implemented quietly, controlled inflation combined with strategic asset positioning. This is what Wall Street's doing. They understand it, most of you don't. So the government will inflate away the debt over the next 10 to 20 years. They'll keep interest rates below the inflation rate, which means the real value of debt shrinks over time. This is called financial repression, weird economic term. It's how the US dealt with post-World War II debt, it's how the UK dealt with their debt. It's the only politically viable solution. But here is what it means for you there's going to be a massive wealth transfer. So if you're holding cash, bonds, or any kind of fixed income assets, you're on the losing side. Your purchasing power will be systematically destroyed. If you live off a salary, the value of that is going to get destroyed. But if you're holding the right assets, stocks in specific sectors, real estate, commodities, and yes, even certain cryptocurrencies, you not only preserve your wealth, you'll potentially grow it very significantly. And here's what Wall Street doesn't want you to know. The crucial skill isn't picking what to buy. Everybody focus on the buying. Is what, you know, the skill that separates retail from professional is knowing when to sell. Now, Wall Street has a rulebook on that, and this is the wrong link. So I'm gonna write it in here for you. Start learning these Wall Street rules. Go to freelixfriends.org slash get free. It's not live. I made a 15-minute video out of it so that people who are asleep when I do my live trainings can actually join and learn. And Wall Street has specific triggers, specific percentages, specific conditions that tell them when to take profits, when to buy something. And retail investors, well, we just don't have that rule book. I'm very lucky. I learned that rule book from my mentors, but in my humble opinion, this is why 90% of retail traders lose money. We're going to put the link down below as well. Um, it's completely free, be far shorter than this video. All right, now let me break this down on the presentation here so you can see exactly how this mechanism works, why 2026 is the critical year, and what you need to do about it right now. At least think about doing right now. I'm not telling you what to do, I'm giving you some food for thought. Let me start with a foundation, and then we're gonna get into some detail here. We have the 18-year property cycle. This isn't some conspiracy theory, this is a documented pattern that's been observed for over 300 years across multiple countries and economic systems. So basically what happens is you've got time, and then every 18 years you get a peak, trough, peak, trough, peak, trough. So this is year zero, this is year 18, this is year 36, and you can literally go back 300 years and it'll show you that. Every 18 years, we see a major peak in land and property values, followed by a crash. Now, maybe you don't believe me. Well, let me show you. 1954, recession. At 18 years, 1972, recession, at 18 years, 1990, recession. At 18 years, 2008. At 18 years, 2026. Whoops, that's where we are about to be. So why does this happen? It's not random. The cycle is driven by by land speculation. And so in the early phase of an economic recovery, interest rates are low, credit is available, people start buying property. As demand increases, land values go up. That's kind of normal and healthy. But then something happens. Investors notice that land values are rising, they start buying land not to use it, but to speculate on future price increases. That's where the bubble begins. Banks see rising property values, they lend more money against that property, and it creates more demand, which puts prices higher, which makes banks lend more money. It's a self-reinforcing cycle that creates a bubble. And then we hit what's called the uh fall or the winner's curse. Prices are so high that regular buyers can't afford property anymore. Sound familiar? Sales volumes start to drop. Sound familiar? Speculators who bought expecting to flip properties can't find buyers, they start to panic and they sell. But there are no buyers at these inflated prices. So banks that lend against these inflated property values suddenly have loans that are underwater. Sound familiar? It's pretty much every bank in the US. They tighten lending standards that reduces demand further, which pushes purchase prices even lower. So you get falling prices, lending contraction, forced selling, lower prices, more lending contraction. This is the bust phase. Typically lasts about four years, and then we start all over again. Now, here's what makes this predictable. Land is unique. Unlike other assets, you can't create more offer. The supply is fixed. So when credit expands, all that new money flows into land values, and when credit contracts, land values crash. And this is why the cycle is tied to land and property, not to stocks or other assets. Now, here's why 2026 won't be like 2008 or 1990. This time we've got multiple converging crises that will amplify the problem. Let me show you what I mean. So we've got several economic issues here. We've got the first one, which is the 18-year cycle, which we just discussed, property values coming down, you know, banks failed and that sort of thing, unemployment starting to rise. Then, secondly, we have another problem, which is the debt problem, which we touched upon, and the 30% debt to GDP ratio, like the US is a banana republic. And then you've got circle three, which is social, social inequality, social instability. We have not seen incoming equality like this since the 1920s. The top 1% earn more wealth than the bottom 90%. So when the crash hits, unemployment will spike. People will lose their homes, their savings, their retirement accounts. So we're already seeing protests and social unrest. A major economic crisis will amplify this. And history shows that depression led to political extremism and social breakdown, right? But there was even more. We have global world issues happening at the same time. More warfare, right? You see these tensions with Russia and the Middle East. Global depression could ignite more conflict, which is just a historical pattern. I'm not saying it's going to be a World War II or even three. We've done the 2-1-1, but you get more conflicts. Look at the Great Depression, partially led to World War II. Look at the 1970s. You had a lot more wars, right? And then the fifth cycle is AI. This is a new factor that didn't exist in previous cycles. AI systems are consuming a massive amount of energy and resources. And as AI becomes more autonomous, there is a risk of systems operating, well, beyond control of you and me, certainly. And it will accelerate the loss of jobs. It'll accelerate the transition to a different economy. And a lot of people are going to get left behind that. But when you connect all these five dots, what actually happens? Well, the economic depression, the property depression, worsens the debt. The debt tends to force austerity, which worsens the social problems. The social problems create more political pressure. Typically, governments go, oh, let's create a war because that way we can distract everybody, so you get more world problems, and then AI just makes everything temporarily at least worse. Although I do think ultimately it'll be great, but in the short term it'll be terrible. So it's a poly crisis. Multiple crises interacting and amplifying each other, the whole is greater than the sum of its parts. And that's why 2026 is such a generational shift. And maybe you're thinking, Felix, you just had a little bit too much doom and gloom juice this morning. Well, let me show you this. In 1971, one US dollar was worth one US dollar. By 1981, the same dollar was worth how much, do you think? 25 cents. That was the inflation that happened. Bonds lost 50 to 60% of their value. But if you held things like stocks, real estate, there wasn't crypto back then, it was gold and commodities, you did exceptionally well. The SP went up 40%. But certain sectors, energy, real estate, those went up like 300%, some even 500%. So there was a lot of opportunity in there. So the lesson is when the monetary system resets, there is a massive wealth transfer. And you want to be on the right side of that. Because the people who understood this in 1971, they became really wealthy. The people who didn't, they lost everything. And I could walk you through more of these examples, but I'm going to be respectful of your time and get to it. So what you really want to avoid are long-term fixed bonds, cash sitting idle. Cash will lose value. Think about that. 1971, a dollar was worth a dollar, in 1981 it was only worth 25 cents. And fixed income investments, they sound safe, but are they really? Obviously, I'm not giving you financial advice, talk to yours about it, but talk to them about the massive inflation that's coming, that's being hidden. There are basically two scenarios here. Either you learn what I'm teaching you here, and let's just argue that you have a, let's say you have a$100,000, right? Say you are the guy who doesn't want to learn. You're doubtful. You think, oh, this is not going to happen, I don't care, right? So you doubt it. That$100,000 over 10 years is going to lose about 30 to 40% of its purchasing power because you are in the wrong assets. So you will have, say,$60,000 in 10 years. Now, if you learn and understand this, your outcome could potentially be very different. Say you say inflation keeps running at 5%. I mean, obviously the government inflation numbers are nonsense. But earnings keep going up. So profits of companies keep going up. You're in the right kind of stocks, your stocks go up more than that 5%. Over the 10 years, your$100,000 becomes about$215,000. That's before inflation. Now, after inflation, you still have to give some of that back. And that will probably take you to about$130,000 of real gain. So your real gains are actually 30%, not the 100% that you're going to boast about. But there's a big difference between having 60,000 and 130,000. So you've literally doubled your money compared to somebody who doesn't know what the heck they're doing. And that's really why I just want to encourage you to learn. Money is a skill. Think about how much time do you spend earning that money and how little time you spend learning how to manage it. You just spend a little bit more time managing it. And always say you can learn any skill in about 100 hours. That's two weeks, basically, of a work week. Obviously, you can spread that out of a little bit longer, but start by taking advantage of the free resources we put out there. We put tons of them out there. One of them is this free 15-minute video I've made for you, which teaches you the three-step system that Wall Street employs and FelixFrenz.org slash get free. And my hope is that this will inspire you to take action. My hope is that this will not depress you to go, oh, it's all over. No, your financial future is in your hands. Question is, do you do something with it? I hope you will. If you've got some value in this video, share it with a friend and I wish you tremendous success.