FELIX PREHN DAILY MARKET NEWS By Goat Academy

Felix Prehn - If You Missed Palantir, This Stock Is Next! (Get in Early) + Stock Market News 29 September 2025 (Goat Academy)

Felix Prehn

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SPEAKER_00:

Winston here just got me excited about one company that's quietly positioning itself to dominate the biggest energy transformation in human history. Winston tells me we're at a critical inflection point. The EV revolution is accelerating faster than most people realize. Literally 13 of the top 15 automakers have committed to going 90% electric by 2030. That's only six or years away, actually, five years away. And the infrastructure needed is massive. Miss this opportunity, and you could watch from the sidelines as the clean energy transition creates generational wealth for smart investors. Get it right, and you could be holding a piece of the company that powers America's EV future. In the next 20 minutes or so, I'm gonna show you exactly why Albemarle could be the ultimate contrarian play and why smart money is accumulating while retail investors are running scared. My name is Felix Prien, I'm a retired investment banker, and today I'm the founder of the GOAT Academy, where I've taught over 20,000 regular investors how to build wealth in the stock market. I'm also the co-founder of Trade Vision, where we used institutional grade research to find winning stocks. Now, this video is not sponsored. None of my videos ever are. I will never talk about a stock that wants to pay me. They do, but I always say no, because that's not really what this is about. My mission instead is to teach regular people like you how to invest like the pros, without Wall Street jargon, without complexity. So what you're about to learn is the same type of deep dive analysis I've seen inside banking. And by the end of this video, you'll understand not just what Abomol does, but why it could be one of the most important investments of the next decade. Let me start with some numbers that'll make your head spin. The lithium iron market is expected to grow 30% per year all the way up to 2030. We're talking about going from 700 gigawatt hours to 4,700 terawatt hours by 2030. That is a seven-fold increase in just eight years. And this isn't just market demand, it's governments forcing the transition. The US Inflation Reduction Act brings billions of dollars into domestic clean energy. Europe has banned, yes, banned new ICE vehicles by 2035. Complete madness, if you ask me, but that's what's happening. So when government's mandate changed, well, smart investors position themselves before everybody else catches on to. And here's what most people don't understand. We need 120 to 150 new battery factories by 2030. Each factory is hugely lithium-hungry and consumes thousands of tons, well, maybe not thousands, but certainly tons of lithium. And guess who's positioned to feed all these factory monsters? That's right, it's Albama. And I know what you're thinking, Felix, lithium prices are down like 80%. It's just true. Literally 80% down is lithium prices. But that's exactly the kind of cyclical thinking that separates the amateur investors from the professional. Commodity cycles are normal. They do this, which is the buy, buy, and hold, and commodities is rarely a good idea. But demand, which is ultimately what drives price, is still six times higher than it was in 2015, even at today's lower prices. And there are multiple commodity analysts out there who are saying we're going to go back into a supply deficit, which means there is less lithium out there than we actually need. And the best time to buy is when there is blood on the streets. And right now, well, there is blood everywhere in lithium. Now, before I share you why I think Abomal is the perfect way to play this trend. By the way, this isn't financial advice. I'm not telling you to buy the stock. I'm just sharing my research with you and the process you can really learn here. But I want to share something even more value, higher value with you. If you want to learn how Wall Street actually finds winning stocks, how do they find them? Do they just like wake up in the morning and have some sort of epiphany? No, they don't. They have a process, they have a structure. And I've learned that structure from my mentors who worked in the big investment banks. And I'm going to give you that structure for free in a free training at FelixFriends.org slash training. I'm not going to do this video because it would make this video like two hours long. So join me live. Just head over to FelixFriends.org slash training. So link down below in the description as well. And you can get yourself a free ticket, and I'll teach you for like an hour and a half or two hours exactly how that works. But let me just show you now why albumel isn't just another lithium miner. Firstly, you need to understand this isn't some junior miner with one asset and a prayer. This is a diversified world-class operation with three business segments. And diversification is very, very important in commodities because we already discussed this is cyclical business. Now, lithium is of course the growth story, but they also have bromine, so you pronounce it, and then catalysts as steady cash flows. Now the pure play lithium miners go bust during downturns. Albert just keeps generating cash from its other business units. So if you want to understand their business, it basically looks like this it is a pie, and yes, most of it is lithium. We then have 20% approximately, which is bromine, and then we have 10%, which is catalysts. Now, most junior new kind of companies out there, they are just 100% lithium. Now, in addition to that, they are internationally diversified. They have a mine in Chile called Sala de Atankama, one of the world's richest, lowest cost brine operations. In down under, in the Aussies place, they have high-grade hard rock asset mines. And then in the United States, in Nevada, they have Silver Peak, which is a strategically important US production. We're going to talk about that in a second. And then in North Carolina, they also have the King's Mountain, which is the crown jewel we're going to talk about in just a minute. This isn't just random diversification. This is actually very, very smart diversification across the best lithium deposits on earth. Now, in the commodity business, there is one thing that matters. And that is you're going to be low cost. That's everything. Because prices will go up, prices will go down, 80% down right now, and the high cost miners they shut down. Low cost miners like Albama, they keep running. The Chilean operations are some of the lowest cost lithium production in the world. Hard rock assets like King's Mountain have higher lithium concentration, which makes it more efficient, which means more lithium per tonal rock. So lower costs, as in higher margin. And here is where things get really excited. Have you heard of DLE? Have you? Put it in the chat. It's called direct lithium extraction. Traditional lithium extraction takes months. So you've got traditional. They use evaporation ponds. It's a bit like salt mining. Uses massive amounts of water, has a huge environmental footprint. Direct lithium extraction changes everything. So you can do what takes months of just waiting in minutes to get higher recovery rates, smaller environmental footprint, less water usage. And they have been patenting DLE technology for years. And when this technology scales, they have an enormous, massive competitive advantage. So that's sort of the long vision here for these guys. And here's how you know that their management is actually really smart. Even during the 2024 collapse of lithium, like really truly collapse, what did they do? They had record output. They converted their plant in China in Quinjo from hydroxide to carbonate to match market demand. So they are very, very agile. Those guys are really, really, really clued up. And at the same time, they're not panicking, they're lowering costs. They have a cost slashing program that targets$300 to$400 million in cost savings over the year. And they've already achieved half of that target. Capital expenditure is down by half. So they got capital discipline. They know they want to survive, they know they're going to survive. And the key thing for any long-term investment to be sustainable is three words. Three words are free cash flow. If you have free cash flow, it means you got money in your bank account and there is more of it every week and every month. It means you never need to borrow money, it means you're not dependent on investors, you're not dependent on the debt markets. You are resilient and they are on track for breakeven cash flow this very year. And if the lithium price just goes up, say 20 to 50%, so that's the lithium price. Yeah, if that happens, I think we're going to see a 2x on their profits. So basically, any increase in the value of lithium goes straight to the bottom line. And let me tell you about the thing that has me most excited about this company. I think this is the real game change. It is called King's Mountain. It is in North Carolina. If you've been there, let me know. It is one of the largest hard rock lithium deposits in the USA. And that is therefore a strategic national asset. The US government gets it. They've provided$250 million in support. There is$90 million from the Department of Defense for Mining Equipment,$150 million from the Department of Energy for the processing facility. So the government is backing this. The government is underwriting this. But here is what makes the King's Mountain even more impressive. There is a mega, if I could spell mega, I'm going to write it MAGAFlex, which is perhaps politically appropriate at the moment. What is it? It is a processing plant. How exciting can we get about processing plant? Well, it's a$1.3 billion plant in South Carolina. There's a$200 million research center as well. It's a complete integrated supply chain from mine to battery-grade material, all on US soil, which is exactly what the government wants. And once this is operational, it could supply lithium for weight for it one million EVs per year. I'll eat a cat and say that one million dollars. I need to do that. Where are all the cats? There should be like about a dozen or so lying around here. They've all scarpered. But yes, they're focusing on the US stuff, but they're not giving up the international assets. They've doubled production in Chile. They're actively testing the direct lithium extraction. There's one thing I've learned about commodity investing. And I've got one of my mentors is a market maker for one of the big commodity exchanges. And it's basically, it goes like that. Now it might maybe go up like that a little bit. And where is the smart place to buy? Well, most people buy there and then they lose their shirt. The smart people buy when everybody is hating it. And I would prefer to be one of the smart people. So we're in one of those troughs. And one thing I would look at with a miner like this, you want to look at a number that almost nobody really understands. It is operating cash flow. What does that mean? It means if they stopped investing, they would have this amount of cash at the bank. Now in 2024, which is like the worst year ever for lithium, that was 700 million dollars. Now everybody looks at only the top number, which is free cash flow. And that was negative, highly negative. But why was that highly negative? Because they invested in the future to the tune of$1.7 billion. Everyone's like, oh my God, they're buying money. But that CapEx is now out of the way. Now they're spending less than half of that because they've invested already. And now they can generate money of that investment. This number is going to improve. And if you can generate operating cash flow in like the worst market ever for lithium and it's down 80%, well, you're probably doing something all right. You have low debt to equity, you have reduced debt overall. Last time I checked, I have about a billion dollars in cash. And cash is always king in the commodity world. And look, I'm bullish on Album, but I'm not gonna sugarcoat this. There are risks. Commodity cycles can last longer than expected. So you think it's gonna do this, right? Well, what if it does that and then this? Right? And maybe we're here. And maybe there's gonna be a time period to wait. Lithium prices could stay low longer than we think. New supply could come out there. Maybe there'll be less demand, maybe there'll be new battery technology. There are all sorts of risks, like with every investment. So I'm not promising you here like the golden goose. So how do professional investors think about that? Well, we don't try to time the exact button. We try to build up positions over time. And if you look at the actual stock chart here, and I'm putting that up in Trade Vision, which is the platform that we build, and one of the things I would definitely do, by the way, is you click on news, and at the very top there, first of all, you only want to get impactful news articles, only stuff that's gonna move the stock. And then when you want to click on this, get news alerts. And you can then add albumal to one of your watch lists. Like I've done, I've got a Felix watch list, I've got a Nasdaq watch list, I've got an SP watch list, uh, and all sorts of other watch lists. And each one of those has stocks within it. And I get news alerts on those live, pre-market, on my phone. And that keeps me better informed than 99% of people out there, and it's all part of the wonderful thing that is that is Trade Vision. Now, why do I also like this? Well, there are two things here, and I shall explain them to you briefly. We're gonna go into some real detail if you join me at the live training. You see this heartbeat pattern? Right? What have you got? You got a high here, a high here, a high there, and a high there. If you just draw a straight line across, you can see there's some pretty decent resistance levels there at around$89, something like that, about$89, that's your resistance. So if we break out above the$89, that's where my entry point would be. And then if you zoom out a little bit on this one, and I mean you really got to zoom out on this one, if we recovered some of the losses, you know, 100% gains would just take us back to about where we were in 2023. This stock's done bagger all in about five years. We took us back all the way to the top. I'm not promising you that, but you'd be up a couple of hundred percent. So I see a potential significant upside. You might be thinking, but it's fallen so much. Yes, but it's been there for a long time. It's consolidated, it's coming out of it, it's recovering. And that's exactly the sweet spot where smart investors start paying attention. But pay attention to the news. They really, really matter. And the big one here is Lithium Americas is potentially gonna get US government investment. So that's gonna be some, you know, one you want to watch. So make sure you've got your notifications on in Trade Vision here. And then just a few words on risk, because that's really what ultimately makes you all the money. It's actually never people always think I need to be in the greatest stock in the world. No, you don't. You just need to have slightly better stocks than average, and you need to have disciplined risk management. So we never bet the farm on any single stock, even if it's a great one. So what we do is we do a small position size, and I then gradually increase that position if the stock keeps going up. So that's the first thing is keep it small. Keep it small, keep it smart. And the second is set stops. You always want to have a bottom line of where you're gonna get out. And that's also how I take profits. We do a whole live session on that a little while back. If you join me for that, you understand what it means. If you didn't, well, come and join me on on, I think it's Wednesday this week, uh, and I'm gonna walk you through like a lot of the stuff. But whether you like it or not, by 2030, we're gonna have a world where EVs dominate new car sales. I would personally much rather sit in a gas guzzler, but that's a personal preference. Most people out there like EVs, they're cool to drive, they're fun, they're quick, they're silent, uh, they're allegedly green. If you've seen mining, you might disagree with that. But that's just the actually the way it works. And there's a huge government and lobbying flow that is making that a reality. And Abama is positioning itself to be the dominant Western lithium producer, and you can't spell EV without lithium. And right now, what's the market saying? Oh, lithium prices will always be low. But there is a cycle, and the moves can be very dramatic. And the best opportunities are typically found at a point of maximum pessimism. And right now, pessimism is there, and at the same time, I'm seeing the stock improve slightly, but gradually. And to me, that's a sign that the smart money is starting to pay attention to this one, which is why I'm talking to you about it. So there we are. If you got some value out of this, come and join me at feedexfriends.org slash training and share it with somebody. You might also get some benefit from this. I thank you for watching. I thank you for tuning in, and I wish you a beautiful week.

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