Speaker 1: 0:00

Felix here. Welcome to this pre-market live stream on a day where Uncle Trump is scaring the markets once again with tariffs all around, especially on our Canadian friends, brazil and all sorts of places. But what I actually want to talk to you about is what I think is an enormous opportunity out of the whole trade war thing, and I'm trying to load my white board so I can actually show you that. Hopefully that will materialize in the next few seconds, otherwise we're going to have to improvise. But essentially, the rare earth thing has become a huge, freaking issue, and if I had my notes it would be even more helpful. So I'm going to walk you through Goldman Sachs' massive, massive research report on that, literally just out. I'll put it on the screen for you and, if you think this might be helpful for you if I walked you through literally 72 pages of the ex-China rare earth supply chain. So if China is out of the picture for array earth supplies at least the US wants it to be, they want to be independent then it's important to understand who is going to be the stock that we want to be buying, and I took some lovely screenshots of that, but we might have to do it the manual way. So, to start with, rare earths are actually not that rare. It's kind of a misnomer. So my goal is here to walk you through the three key stock picks and answer essentially whether those are actually worth getting into right now or whether it's too late, too early, too risky and who it might be for. So I hope that's going to give you guys some tremendous value. And then, of course, we look at the market. We've got about 27 minutes that it opens so we can run through this fairly quickly.

Speaker 1: 1:54

Rare earths are essentially needed to make magnets. Now why the heck do we need magnets? Because we can't really do anything without magnets All of our motors. So I'm not going to walk you through all the neodymium and samarium and terbium or whatever it's called. It doesn't really matter. But if you want to build a cruise missile or a smart bomb or some sort of anything really that flies or has a motor in it, you need them. Now, from a US point of view, the particular problem is that you need it for defense. So if you want to build an F-35, you need 920 pounds worth of rare earths. You want to build a Virginia-class submarine, you need 9,200 pounds of the stuff, which is pretty significant, right, and, as I say, my note's still not loading. Microsoft says this is information you guys shouldn't be having. Say, my note's still not loading, microsoft says this is information you guys shouldn't be having. Anyway, I can do it from the report itself.

Speaker 1: 2:50

Now, this little chart here shows you the at the moment, there is a surplus of the actual rare earths, but that is going to go into a deficit, a massive, massive, massive deficit with humanoid robots. Why? Because every humanoid robot has loads of magnets in them that are needed for all the electric motors inside of it. So that's a huge, huge, huge problem. Now, this deficit here, which is tremendous, this is in kilotons, so it's a lot. 1,000 tons assumes that China is going to be sharing its rare earths and magnets. No-transcript rare earth stocks. Why? Well, because most people are focusing on mining and, as I say, rare earths are not rare. They're actually pretty much everywhere, most of the stuff you can find everywhere. But the ability to process them and to turn them into magnets, that capacity is almost entirely in China. So that is where I'm putting my money. Is uranium a rare earth? No, no Again, uranium not that rare, but there is a uranium play U-U-U-U which is moving into the rare earth space, so that's something that might be of use.

Speaker 1: 4:56

Oh, my God, we got our notes Brilliant, so I don't need to. I can be a little bit more organized here, right? So there are literally three tickets here that we want to look at mostly, and I'm not going to hold you hostage, I'm just going to tell you exactly what they are. One is MP Materials, which we talked about last week, I think, and obviously popped tremendously overnight. Now I say obviously might not be obvious to you, but yeah, yesterday it was up 50%, down a touch today, but still up there on massive volume.

Speaker 1: 5:28

So the question you probably now have is well, is it too late to buy this right? So the right time to buy was here, 5th of june. You can't go back in time, um. The second best thing you can do is to learn why you wanted to go in on 5th of june, because that was kind of the, the rules-based thing that we always look at. If you're new to this channel, you're going to see me draw a lot of these right, and when we break out of these double resistance lines here triple in this case that's usually our moment to fly and shine, and we did. We get a pullback. That also always pretty much always happens, and that was our second chance and that was the moment where we really really took off.

Speaker 1: 6:13

So how do you manage this? Fairly Fairly, simply, actually. So you find the opportunity through scanners and understanding the rules, you set up basically an auto-buy, so an automated buy order that only triggers at that point and then you set up a stop to risk, manage, I don't know, maybe down here, maybe down there. It depends a little bit on your horizon and that means that you are not getting stopped out here, right, like most people. Most people set their stops like, oh, I'm here, I'm going to set my stop there, right, and that's a mistake because you're missing out on the actual, real value that's about to occur. Is MP materials too late? Well, I think, if you look at the actual numbers, I guess I'm not telling you what to buy. I would argue that they're not, but there might be better opportunities here, which we'll look at in just a second. It is probably the most prominent play. They have an actual mine in California, which they've got online, and they're building a magnet facility in Texas. So they're pretty much earlier than anybody else at scale and they've got government money.

Speaker 1: 7:25

Using a rule stopped us from seeing the 50% in this case. No, not necessarily, my friends. It's understanding risk management at a surface level. That's what stops you out from it. There is a little bit more intricacy to understanding exactly where you set your stops. If you just put it at a random number like 6% or something like that, it's better than not having it, but it's not going to allow you to really really maximize your profits. So you're going to have some wriggle room there for these kinds of stocks that are very, very volatile.

Speaker 1: 7:54

A stock that moves 50% in a day, it's going to need a pretty big range for a stop. Right, it also moved here 13%, 13%. So at the very least, you need a 13% stop, maybe a bit more than that. I would suggest quite a bit more than that. But yeah, this is probably the cleanest play in many ways because it's American, it's in the US, the guys seem to know what they're doing and one of the real problems to actually build magnets is that the machines to build the magnets are all made in China and China has stopped exporting them. They know what's up. So MP Materials has managed to build their own, apparently, which is cool and also a sign that these guys have a lot of knowledge and skills, which is therefore why the stock is up as much as it is. But I mean, even from the recent highs here we're up 15%, which is about a day's move for a stock like this.

Speaker 1: 8:54

Now, this is not for the faint-hearted. If your stomach lining suffers easily, this is not the sort of thing you want to be in. But one thing you can also do is in trade vision you can see if institutions are starting to jump on this, and that's one thing I always look up is to get a bit of a feel for that. And yeah, they're starting to right. 4.3 million in call options bought yesterday the day before I believe it was almost nothing yeah, nothing, $74,000. Institutions are crawling all over this thing. So that's number one. It's empty materials, right?

Speaker 1: 9:32

If you really want to understand the entries and the exit points and so on, what I'm talking about and how we find these, I am running a live training session literally tomorrow, and there's a link down below to it felix friends webinar. You can grab yourself a literally a free seat to that and I'll teach you for about an hour how that really works, um, and if you join me for that, we're going to go literally join us and I'm going to go hit you with the rules over the head and then we're going to look at a bunch of examples and what we're investing in right now and why, and so on, to make sure that really really lands for you and really sticks for you and it's completely free. It's part of our mission to make a million of you financially free. So that's number one. Second on my list is a stock called Linas. Now, linas is an Australian company, um, and yeah, so we actually haven't got Australian stocks in Trade Vision. So I'm going to go into TradingView and look that up. And then we've got two more. The last one is actually one that I've been in for quite a while.

Speaker 1: 10:40

What is it with the internet being a bit slow on my end today? So is it just me? This is usually fairly quick. Mndad says completing my first month in great academy, best decision ever made recently. Um, I'm very, I'm very happy to hear that. My friend um, if you care to share, maybe, why it's a good experience, um, I obviously also love to hear that. It also helps us to always make it better. But seriously. What is going on here today with connectivity Trading view. Does anybody have that as well? This was me, linus.

Speaker 1: 11:17

Here we go. Linus Rare Earths Limited is listed in Australia down under LSX. It seems that it's also listed in London, but definitely not in the US. So how can you get access to things like this? A broker like Interactive Brokers will probably give you access to it. No data here. There we go, it's loading.

Speaker 1: 11:43

So this is the stock chart. It's got some moving average lines in there and what do you see? Absolutely big, beautiful textbook. When you look at this chart, can you tell where we want to buy it? Probably not right, and I wouldn't really expect you to. But you see this zigzag pattern here and just how perfect that is.

Speaker 1: 12:11

And to me, the breakout is that it's that point there. That's the breakout. If you're a little bit more of a risk taker, you could have done it. A little bit lower could have been here, but absolute thing of beauty breaks out. And what does it do next? Well, it comes back down. Second chance, and that's why you need to give these kind of volatile stocks a lot of room to breathe. And then what's it done next? Well, it moves higher and higher and higher. And it moves higher in the familiar zigzag pattern that we see here right, higher, in the familiar zigzag pattern that we see here right, um, and then yesterday again boom.

Speaker 1: 12:51

So is it too late? I would actually argue it's perfect. And I'm not telling you what to buy, just my humble opinion, right? So please don't run out and buy some random australian company. You don't understand. But no, risk management and everything else. But two reasons for that Moving average line shoots up. We've exceeded the previous close prices yesterday for the first time in quite a few days.

Speaker 1: 13:13

So from a technical setup, this looks very, very good to me. Does that make some sense? I mean quite a lot of them, as I'm Aussie myself. Adam Waffles, well, finally something for the Aussies. I mean, you guys obviously have a lot of mining down there, but yeah, they're actually. They've been in this for a while. Ilu, also Australian, is building a refinery, first production expected in 2027. So none of this stuff is going to be quick, by the way, right. But does that mean you can't make money out of it? No, the market is forward-looking. So the market doesn't really care about whether they're producing right now. It's the belief there that they are going to be producing in the short term.

Speaker 1: 13:53

Winston is about to join us. Winston, come on over here. Come on over here, join us. Give us some of your wisdom. We all need it, winston. Come on. Good boy, let me see where this little guy is. Where is he? Where is he? Where is he? Come on, neil. Come on, neil. Now, if you're new to this channel, you're wondering what the heck's going on here. Winston is my golden retriever, who tends to join us for these sort of important sessions. There he is, winston. What are your thoughts on rare earths? So, what are your thoughts on rare earths? So, in all seriousness, he knows a lot. He knows a lot, this guy. He knows a lot about risk management, particularly. So now you have a large ear. So let's move on with more Australian stocks, shall we?

Speaker 1: 14:39

So people look at this and they go. It's too late. I've missed it, and I think you couldn't be wronger. Who thought that? By the way, who thinks they look at this chart and they go? Oh my God, look at that gap up. It went up 22% yesterday. Too late, too late. If you think that, put an L for late in the chat, because I think most people would actually think that.

Speaker 1: 15:14

Get a golden retriever. Adopt a golden retriever. That's very important. Um, don't buy dogs. It's a plenty of fluffy creatures that you can just adopt cheaper too. Think of the compounding.

Speaker 1: 15:22

You see the highs here that we had One, two, three. We broke through it the day before, two days before the breakout actually, two days before the breakout that was your telltale sign to buy it. Annoying, isn't it? But was it Actually? It wasn't. And why wasn't it? Because that line up here is something we call the 150-day moving average line. In many ways, I also call it the investable line or the investor line. Why? Because investors shouldn't really be in stocks below that line. It's just risky as heck, and we don't really like risky as heck. So this is the first day, yesterday, where we were above that line quite significantly, and today we're trading at the very top end, the same price we closed at yesterday, and that's very, very bullish. So to me this looks very good.

Speaker 1: 16:16

Now, is it risky? Well, yeah, you're looking at stocks that are moving 20% in a day. Don't be surprised if they also move down 20% in a day. Don't be surprised if they also move down 20% in a day. So you need a big, big, big, big risk kind of profile for this. But how do you manage that? Small positions that would be the first way, because you lose 20% of 1%. You don't really notice, right Head and shoulders, yeah, yeah, if you're being generous down, head and shoulders right, which is our most favorite pattern there. It also looks a little bit like something else really, but yeah, you're quite right there. I was thinking about a bird, obviously.