Speaker 1: 0:00

Felix and Winston here. Well, sort of Winston. There he is. Where is he off to? Well, a little gloomy and doomy, mostly because of Tesla. And why is that with Tesla? Well, the reason for that is very simple, and I need to explain that to you. I'm not really one for gossip my cat seems to be, though but this is important. So if you want to understand what actually matters in the market today, then smash the you-know-what, and hopefully we're going to be able to take it into actually what we can do about this and we can make money out of this.

Speaker 1: 0:52

Elon Musk was tweeting this. They just pretend to be two parties it's just one uniparty in reality, pointing to how the national debt goes up, no matter who is president, which is definitely very true, and he is upset about the big, beautiful bill as amended for the 98th time. And, yes, it has big tax cuts in it, which will be good for the market. It enshrines big tax cuts, which will be good for the market, and it might be a horrendous piece of legislation. It certainly isn't very responsible, but the problem with Elon going out, this is this this is the next week. Anyone who campaigned on the promise of reducing spending but continues to vote on the biggest debt ceiling increase in history, will see their face on this poster in the primary next year, right, literally threatening people. Now I would just say voters don't care a great deal about this.

Speaker 1: 1:50

If you're American, you're on the chat here. Please disagree with me. I'd love to hear your opinion. But, generally speaking, people want what they want lower taxes and most people actually want more government services, more free stuff right, and that's usually what Republicans were promising more services, usually what Democrats are promising. They're kind of doing more or less the same thing. So I'm not sure this is a great vote winner, because you're saying to people I'm going to give you less, I'm going to tax you more. But here is the next one, and this is, I think, where he crosses the line and this is why Tesla is tanking. If this insane spending bill passes, the America Party will be formed the next day and our country needs to turn to the Democratic Republican Uniparty so people have a voice. Not just pissing off Republicans. He's pissing off everybody in Washington, every regulator, every bit of, whatever swamp you might be a part of, sorry administration, pissing them all off. And then Trump gets asked this are you going to deport Elon? Of course this is a ludicrous question, but we'll have to take a look. We might have to put Doge on Elon. And he says he gets a lot of subsidies and he sort of ranted on about how Elon wouldn't be building rockets or cars or anything without subsidies. And then Elon writes thankfully so. So, tempting to escalate this, I'll refrain for now, but the damage is sort of there Tesla down 6%, pre-market down 2% yesterday.

Speaker 1: 3:22

And why is it so important? Not just because the richest man in the world tweets something, but there is a little bit of uncertainty this morning about how is the bill gonna pass. Is it gonna pass? Will the cats ever be quiet? That one I think we know the answer to. But um, why are you so noisy, albert? Where is he? Just a bloody creature, cats.

Speaker 1: 3:50

So the problem here is genuinely one of a little bit of uncertainty around the bill, a little bit of uncertainty about how much, how so much debt will we're going to put on the Winston spy cam here? There he is escaping into the kitchen, you see, did you see that? Slinking off for food? Undoubtedly. And there is the other little troublemaker there. He is also going into that kitchen, hopefully going to contain his racket in there. All right then. So that puts an end to that noise.

Speaker 1: 4:23

So, yeah, a little bit of uncertainty this morning about is the bill going to pass? If it doesn't, that will be very negative. If it does pass, might be a little bit of wobbles in the bond market, but overall it'd be very good for the stocks. So how do you justify, how do you see this? Well, volatility is up a little bit to 17.2. We were at 16 before.

Speaker 1: 4:45

Winston's gold stocks are doing quite nicely. Hang on, where are they? Where did they go? Here we go. You see Winston's gold stocks here, ego, ske, groy and gold. Overall they were all up 2%, 3.5%, 2%, which is pretty good because we own those they're gapping up.

Speaker 1: 5:02

So a little bit of uncertainty here this morning and we own those they're gapping up. So a little bit of uncertainty here this morning. And you just have to understand the market moves in these cycles, so nothing goes up in one straight line. And if you understand that that's what happens, then we can actually make money out of the uncertainty. We maybe have some gold positions and then we'll be more certain and we make money out of the tech positions and it sort of zigzags its way up and down.

Speaker 1: 5:29

An important thing, of course, is to keep the gains, to keep the profits winston's wanted back. Yeah, they keep um stealing him with snacks. I'm gonna have to have a word about that. Ske is beautiful, isn't it? I know that's been a. That's been a nice one, right. So we bought this. We buy this at 11.75, somewhere here and we are now up. Well, it's off the charts, quite literally.

Speaker 1: 5:49

I need to scroll down a little bit more and you might wonder well, it's very nice that you are up this much. How about me? Poor old me, where's my free stock? Learn to find this. That's what I'd say to you. Much, much better than me giving you these nuggets is for you to actually know how I find the nuggets. If you want to learn how to find the nuggets, you know what to do.

Speaker 1: 6:09

There is a link down here below. It's in the description, it's in the live chat, it's everywhere. It's everywhere I go FelixPrenzorg slash. Get free. You learn that You're on your path, path to freedom to you, my friend, path to retirement. Be surrounded by dozens of cats and dogs and your life will be very peaceful.

Speaker 1: 6:29

Your mic is crackling. It's a little loud, isn't it? It is a little loud. I'm not quite sure why, gain, maybe that Does that do the trick. Yeah, that might do the trick. No, no, no, it's still a bit too loud. You're quite right. You're quite right of pointing that out, my friend. We are a little bit too loud for some reason. Let me take it down a couple of decibel. That's probably a little bit better, isn't it? Yeah, that's probably a little better. Thank you for letting me know. Now, this is a live guys, so feel free to ask questions. We do this live. 2,500 people here live Microphone's clipping. Yeah, I think I was just a bit too loud. A bit too loud, so I tried to be a little bit less loud.

Speaker 1: 7:12

Now, what does it mean if you're on a stock list, if something closed above the value yesterday, but now we have this new event? Do we see how things close today? Well, so you're saying something broke out and closed above our buy point, and this morning it's already below the buy point? Is that what you're saying? Um, well then then then the the buy order wouldn't trigger, because if you are no longer above the buy point, then your buy point has a limit, minimum price. It therefore won't buy it. Well, I don't think it will. So I don't think it really matters. Pre-market moves don't really matter here. Finally joined great academy yesterday, looking forward to the onboarding today. Congratulations, my friend. I hope you have an amazing time.

Speaker 1: 8:05

Since the cats unplugged the mic oh, maybe it was a little bit about. Is it still crackling? They're still crackling. Maybe maybe they also moved the uh, the dials here a bit. I'll just turn it down a little bit. It's probably too quiet though, isn't it? Isn't that a bit? I'll just turn it down a little bit. It's probably too quiet though, isn't it? Isn't that a bit too quiet? I think we need a little bit more. This is probably more like it. Right?

Speaker 1: 8:28

Should you sell Tesla? Well, let's have a look at Tesla here. Pre-market, it's an unpleasant dip. I mean, I don't think anyone's that concerned about what. Is it pre-market now? 5.5% down on Tesla, like that happens every other day, sort of thing. We are still also above those recent lows here. We're above those recent lows down there. We're well above the 210 that we came from, that we came from.

Speaker 1: 9:01

But the concern is, of course is Elon literally going to go and create a political party? I mean, just think this through for a moment. How many billionaires have ever gotten elected? Most of them are just not very relatable. Trump, I think, is an unusual one because he's an entertainer, right, he's a showman. He's unusual. He manages to channel the entire media behind him. He's very, very good at sort of manipulating the narrative. You've got to give him that he's an excellent politician from the skill of politicking, right? I'm not talking about whether you like his opinions or not, but just his execution as a pure politician. You'd have to give him an, a star on that one. I don't think Elon's got that and I think, because Elon was campaigning in Pennsylvania, he sort of thinks he can win anything.

Speaker 1: 9:45

I don't think people will vote for Elon. I just don't think they will. I think he'll fall flat on his face. Remember Ross Perot? Remember that guy who ran? Who did he run again? Bush, or someone Clinton or something? Who did he run again? Bush or someone Clinton or something? I can't remember? He's a billionaire.

Speaker 1: 10:01

People just don't care, people are just not interested. You're a billionaire, you're not relatable and you want to lower the deficit. Your average man on the street does not care about the deficit. That's what I think, because to them it doesn't matter. What matters to them is how much is their mortgage? How much is their car payment? How safe is the world? How tight are their taxes? Can they afford to send their kids to school? That sort of thing? That's what matters to them. They don't really care about this abstract. Is it 35 trillion or 37 trillion? It's a random number to most people.

Speaker 1: 10:32

So I just think Elon's lost the plot on this one, and that's concerning because it affects Tesla. Now, I used to have a rule, and it was probably a good rule never trade Tesla because of Elon. He was just unstable and I think that rule probably should be reinstated. So, yeah, I'm not liking it. I'm not liking it. I think it's a shame because it's a tremendous company. I mean, he's obviously one of the most able innovators in the world. I wish he would stick to innovating.

Speaker 1: 10:59

I think that, because politics is not a game you win in, I think that's kind of the problem really. Price of gas and eggs yeah, stuff like that. 50% are independent and want a new party yeah, but the way your system works, it's very, very hard. It's first past the post, right, so you've got to get the most votes in each district, and it's a very hard thing to do so. I just think it's you're basically putting the entire establishment up against you to unite against you to destroy you. Good luck, that's what I'd say, right, and if he and if he, if he just collects a bit of votes, he'll probably collect more Republican votes, so then he'll actually ensure a Democratic majority, which is probably not what he wants either. So it's just, I just can't see the point of this.

Speaker 1: 11:51

To be honest with you, how can we become your mentee, edson? One thing is watch the masterclass. My friend, after the end of that 15 minutes, you're still not entirely repelled. There is a button below that you can book a call with us. You can have a chat with us. We always have chats with people. We want to make sure we can actually help you, because that's really what this is all about. We want to be able to make sure you walk away going. That was the best thing I've ever done, and that's one of the reasons we want to have a call with you. First, because we want to make sure that it's a good fit, but also, obviously, give you answers to all your questions. But yeah, gold's looking good. Gold's sort of gapping up here this morning. Tough crowd hit the like button. Appreciate that.

Speaker 1: 12:37

My vegetarian pig, winston for president. Yeah, that would be a good idea. That would be a very good idea. You should probably keep up the politics, felix. I mean, it's not particularly political, I just say what I'm seeing.

Speaker 1: 12:51

I'm not saying one is better than the other. I didn't vote in the US. I didn't get a say in who you guys elect. All I got to do is take the politics, take the outcome of it and apply it to my portfolio. Is it going to make me money, yes or no?

Speaker 1: 13:06

This tax bill would make us money. It's good for the stock market. Is it good for the country or any of that? Not really my concern. I think governments are problematic because they will always give everybody what they want and therefore the debt will always go higher and higher and higher. I'm not a huge fan of that, but that's just the reality of it. There's nobody there. Apparently. He wants something different. So that's what it is.

Speaker 1: 13:34

What's a trading stop? That's a smart question. Okay, say you were in this gold stock, like I am, and you bought it down here, where I bought it right, and you're right now up. You're up 40% in about a month and a half right 38% starts to drop, I want to sell. So you would say, okay, if it drops, say 5% or something, right, if it drops minus 5%, I sell. That's what a trading stop is. So if the stock then continues to go up and up, and up and up and up which hopefully it will, but nobody knows then your stop will gradually keep moving up, with it always be 5% below it, and it's a simple way of having some risk management. That is certainly a lot better than no risk management.

Speaker 1: 14:30

Why not buy physical gold nuggets? I think gold is great. I've got some lying around here somewhere. But well, just look at this. I'll open the gold, basically the gold price, for you, right? So when do we buy this? 20th of May? So on the 20th of May, where was that? Yeah, there. Even right From there to where we are right now, gold's gone up 3%. So if you bought physical gold, you probably would have paid, you know, one or 2% or something fees. So you would be up like a percent or two. And I'm not against holding gold, by the way, I'm just saying as a tradable instrument, physical gold isn't great. Gold is something you want to buy and just hold forever pretty much. So you're up 3%, whereas, as you just saw, we also bought gold on the same day, 20th of May, a gold stock that we selected with our system, which you can learn for free if you go to phoenixfrontsorggetfree we're up 38%. So we're about 36% ahead of you. You see what I'm saying. Now I could sell that and I could buy 36% more physical gold that might be using that leverage.

Speaker 1: 15:49

Mstr chart is broken. That was starting to look a little bit promising yesterday, wasn't it? Oh, yes, yes, it is. Mstr chart is broken. Huh, we broke the chart. Why? Okay, I'm sure the guys will fix that, but yeah, thanks for flagging that. That's a good one.

Speaker 1: 16:19

Again, we bought it basically here, ske, and then I had a stop somewhere. I can't remember where it was and when we started moving up I probably moved my stop up to there and then I probably moved it up to somewhere there, and it's got something to do with understanding where the chart gives you support zones and there's different levels of that. But once you understand that, you can set your stop more logically in a better place and you're less likely to just randomly get stopped out. Great argument for gold stocks. Yeah, I mean, I think the fresh metal sort of mining type stocks will always outperform the gold underneath it because it's sort of like a leverage, will always outperform the gold underneath it because it's sort of like a leverage essentially on the actual physical gold. Eric says the bloody rules. I know that's what it's all about, isn't it? It's all about rules, my friend.

Speaker 1: 17:18

Now I was going to show you why we're actually fundamentally bullish and I don't think we should forget about that, because this is the bull case. From, is it from? I was going to say JP Morgan, yeah, jp Morgan here, market intelligence and they put that out and they put out. It's lengthy, but I'll just tell you what the key bits are, because it's a bit boring. They're basically saying everything is going to be all right, don't worry. They're basically saying everything is going to be all right, don't worry. They're saying that the most important thing are the non-farm payrolls. Those are coming out on Friday. So join me for that live stream on Friday.

Speaker 1: 17:58

As long as that's looking okay, the market's going to be on track. They don't think inflation is going to massively spike and any sort of trade deals essentially that we get will be very, very, very good for the market. And then they're saying the tax bill is unlikely to actually spike the bond market. So some people are saying it's going to be the end of the world and the bond market's going to implode and all that. It probably won't. And then we are also saying we're seeing estimates cut more than usual this earnings season, so expectations are lower, so the bar is low and that means that financial JP Morgan's one of those mega cap tech your NVIDIAs and so on, sheldon's JP Morgan's one of those mega cap tech, your NVIDIAs and so on are likely to create momentum going into the NVIDIA earnings report and beyond. So they're basically saying the world's our oyster, we're going to make lots of money. Shall we buy the third yacht or another island? That's essentially what they're saying. So, in summary, everything is going to be just fine.

Speaker 1: 19:01

And today it's just a pre-market wobble. We've got 10 more minutes of this pre-market wobble Tesla down 5.75%, nvidia down a percentage point, amd down 2.4 percentage points. Is that something to worry about? I mean, look at the chart, get some perspective right. We're trading at the lower end of yesterday's trading range, related trade and friday's trading range. This is not a big move, so I would not be particularly concerned about this. This is just a market that's a little bit softer amd now. If it does gap down here I would be a little concerned. Yes, for sure that's not as pretty. So the gap down is something hopefully we won't get, but maybe we will. Um. The markets are closed. Friday oh yeah, yeah, yeah, you have uh, you have uh july. Uh, fourth right independence day thing. How old is winston? Um, as young as he feels, um, he's a puppy on the inside.