Speaker 1: 0:02

And welcome to this pre-morning pre-market. Even live stream. Markets are looking a little bit more optimistic, so you can take off the panic dressing for the moment. But what I want to do with you in the next half an hour or so is run you through, first of all, the most popular stocks that most of you guys probably own or are thinking about owning, and I'll share my screen with you so you can see what I'm talking about. These ones here. We're going to look at those. I also want to give you like what's the biggest lesson here for investors, really really important? You get that down. I want to take some notes and we go to that. And how do you actually know when to buy? I want you to walk away from today being super, super clear on that. And then also just look at a little bit of the positive side here. It's a short squeeze possible. Could we seem a real jolt? And then I'll give you literally word for word what the most important investment bank out there, according to Goldman Sachs, is literally recommending to their big clients and I've got the full report from their top guy and I'll share that with you. And then, if this sounds like something that might be valuable to you, then write value or just a V in the chat for value. So I know this is useful for you. And we're, of course, joined by Winston, who is there. He is. He looks pretty chilled, doesn't he, about the whole thing. He's just snoozing and dreaming about balls and hikes. We're going on a hike in the morning, just snoozing and dreaming about balls and hikes. We're going on a hike in the morning, which I'm excited about. So, good morning everybody. Smash the like button.

Speaker 1: 1:30

If you just walked into the room, I'm going to run you through here and you can see my little watch list here. On the right, you can see that let's look at the VIX first, and Apple, microsoft, nvidia, amazon, google, meta, tesla, and then also the spy, the QQQ Palantir, paypal, sofi, and then also the SPY, the QQQ Palantir, paypal SoFi, archer Rigetti, in that order, and you can see quite a bit of green here. Right, this is pre-market. Is it pre-market green? No, it says yesterday's green. Still, either way, we're quite happy about it, so let's run through that. By the way, the software that I'm using here that you can see, is tradevisionio, which is what we built to give you the best data out there. It's what I use every single day to find my investments, track my trades, look at the dark pool data. We can look at the dark pool data as well. If you guys want, I'll open it up so Ruby will remember it.

Speaker 1: 2:15

So why am I starting with this VIX thing that, like, nobody sane talks about out there? Because it's actually the one thing that matters in a situation like this, it's the fear index. When there's too much fear, life's just too risky. You want to sit on your hands, you want to like pull back risk and then, when it starts coming down again, you kind of want to be like well, this is probably a good place to start nibbling Now. Right now it's at 40, right, 40.5. Can you see that here? And we said trade vision rocks, mike. Okay, appreciate that, my friend. What you should do, actually, mike, if you could do we allow links in the chat you should post your referral link in here and that way you'd make some money out of this. So we're going in the right direction, right?

Speaker 1: 3:00

So yesterday it was me I apologize. I um made myself a smoothie, I put in the peanut butter and I didn't blend it for long enough, and then it gets stuck in your throat and it makes you up, makes you cough unexpectedly in the wrong moments. So I didn't want to jolt you there. The market already doing that. By the way, futures are green and bushy-eyed across the board about 2.5% up. The pre-market looks pretty respectable all over. So is that therefore the point to start buying, or is it still too early? Literally nut stuck in throat, I'll try to do. Hang on, I have a mute button. Can you still hear me? Can you still hear me? Yeah, okay, we're back. Yeah, that works Brilliant. I did the button exactly for that. It's the cough button. If I ever need to cough, I should press that button. That just wasn't quick enough. So it's heading in the right direction, but it's still a little bit on the high side. So you're still going to get walloped. Probably there could be a dip again after today.

Speaker 1: 4:05

We'll talk a little bit macro as we run through this, but let's look into the stocks first here. Apple is well. Yesterday was pretty hideous A big, big, big candle there, big plunge, and that candle, even though it was green, it actually looks really, really bad because it looks like a hammer, right, an upside down hammer, and those are bad candles. But we're recovering a little bit here, just people thinking it can't be that bad, it can't all be over. They probably haven't read the news that.

Speaker 1: 4:33

Did you read that China, as Trump says, put retaliatory tariffs or is putting retaliatory tariffs on the US? And Trump said if you don't remove those retaliatory tariffs to my retaliatory tariffs, then I will put further retaliatory tariffs on you to the tune of an additional 50%. Now that would make Chinese goods going into the US twice the price that they are right now approximately. That would have a pretty significant impact on companies like Apple in their bottom line. So am I buying Apple here? No, it's a company with very little, well, amazing user base, but they just don't know what to do with it, and that's sort of the problem here. So for me, apple definitely too early, even though we're getting a little bit of a rebound here. I think that's just a general. I think there's probably just people buying the index, just the general dip buyers, and Apple is one of the biggest components of the index, but I wouldn't personally touch this yet.

Speaker 1: 5:41

Now, microsoft so the 90 days fake news that made the hammer, that is true. Yeah, that is true. So there was that rumor out yesterday that they would delay by 90 days and that was kind of a blip. So we're seeing a little bit of that, but still, you know, we ending up now, microsoft. This actually looks a little bit more promising because we're trading above where we closed the previous day or even started the previous day. You see the little dotted blue line here. That's what we're trading now.

Speaker 1: 6:03

The key lines here to watch out for would be the key moving averages, which are so far above us. They're actually hard to see. They're up there, so you kind of want to retest those. That's how every rally works Initially and it doesn't really matter whether you buy $10 higher or lower. To be honest with you, initially we need to take out the resistance here at 400. And then we need to break up through that and then we have two moving averages to hit. Now, last time we hit, the moving averages was there and we banged our head against them. We went much, much, much, much lower.

Speaker 1: 6:41

The good news is and I'm putting some positive spin on this here slightly most markets bottom out on really, really big volume. It just means everybody who wanted to sell has sold. Now the risk here is, of course, the trade thing getting out of control well, further out of control. And secondly, somebody likerosoft coming in and going. We think this is going to impact revenue. We think this is going to impact growth in certain markets. Maybe europe comes in and puts a higher tariff on, you know, microsoft software or something like that may or may not happen, right? So there are definitely risks here that are not just oh, this is just the the usual kind of up and down, so I'd still be a little bit cautious. I do like that we held the support line. Of course I like that we're up 1.6 percent here pre-market. Uh, the big volume there yesterday, uh, yet fairly decent finish is definitely something that makes me a little bit more optimistic.

Speaker 1: 7:39

So let's jump on to the bigger tech boys here. Nvidia right, nvidia did reasonably well yesterday. Where is it trading right now? There, it is at $102.62. So we're above the $100 mark. That's pretty important, right? So we bounced off the $90 support line here, right? And those support lines, we don't make them up, they're based on all the trading positions of the big boys on Wall Street and we calculate that for you guys every day, day, so you can see where the real support sits. Huge volume there yesterday, which was again quite positive, but again, the only problem is that we are still significantly below the key moving averages here, which really really do matter. That's the, that's the 200 and that's the 150 day moving average line. So there's still that.

Speaker 1: 8:25

And then if you look into something like dark pools, where you can actually see what the big guys are doing, and just type in NVIDIA there, right, and this is all in trade vision you can just have a free trial to this. It's like literally zero risk. If you don't like it, you can just cancel it at the end of the week, and then we're not going to charge you a single thing, and tension there is just to give you really, really good data. Look at the most of these trades yesterday right, this is all you can see this live. As the market's open, there's still. Vast majority are still bearish, right, and that says something that people are still kind of cautious, and we'll touch a bit on the macro stuff and the bigger picture stuff here in just a moment. But is that making some sense to you, right? So we're bouncing off Pretty cool. We might even have a gap up here today on NVIDIA 4% up right now, which is pretty impressive.

Speaker 1: 9:16

One candle in itself, though, does not make a rally, right. You'd need something a little bit more sustained and show that the volume is holding up. That's really, really important. So what we've seen here is we saw a sell-off and we saw volume spike, which is really really ugly right. We don't want to see that, but, as I said yesterday, makes me hopeful Pre-market, makes me hopeful.

Speaker 1: 9:38

On NVIDIA and look, most of NVIDIA's sales are exempt from the tariffs because chips are largely exempt. So this is actually pretty, pretty good. How much does trade vision cost? I think it's. Is it 16 bucks or is it 19 bucks a month or something? It's. It's super, super cheap intentionally, because we want to make that data available to you that we pay like tens of thousands of dollars for. So Amazon again, we're at the very, very top of yesterday's trading range, right, which includes the remark around trade tariffs might be delayed. So that's pretty cool. So we're up like $13 here, just from the support line. That's a really nice bounce there yesterday. So, again, that makes me feel pretty good.

Speaker 1: 10:24

On Amazon Amazon is an extraordinary business, with or without tariffs, right, the retail side is low margin. It isn't what it's all about. The most important thing on the retail side, quite frankly to me, is Amazon Prime. You're not going to cancel that and secondly, it's the advertising revenue that allows Amazon to generate. That's really what it's about, and they might see a little bit of an impact there on advertising revenues because a lot of the Chinese merchants are obviously paying for advertising on Amazon. But Amazon fundamentally I still think is an extraordinary business. I'm quite liking Amazon here. I mean obviously going through the big boys here. Same with Google. Yeah, we're up quite nicely about $11 since yesterday's low. Again, great big volume there yesterday we just jumped a little bit more quickly through these.

Speaker 1: 11:12

Here is Meta. Again, similar story, right, trading at the very top end of yesterday's trading range. That horror show of two gaps down here. That was one gap. You see that that was the second gap down. We ended that yesterday, yesterday actually closing relatively respectfully, as long as we close above, kind of what we were yesterday.

Speaker 1: 11:32

I think we're starting to build out some um, we're starting to build out some support here, but I don't like buying individual stocks below these big moving averages lines. So so, honestly, I'd rather wait for this to go up, maybe into the 580 zone and yeah, I'd literally pay 8% more than you might if you buy this today, but it'll give me more certainty. It'll give me much, much higher probability that this is actually going to go up and be not going to get walloped. Now, what about Tesla? Well, up and be not going to get walloped. Now, what about Tesla? Well, tesla is also up. I didn't think that could go up, did we?

Speaker 1: 12:11

And really, if you look at this now, we've been sort of stuck for most of March in the same zone here. Volume has also been pretty steady and it begs the question whether the sellers are done selling, because we've been selling off for a pretty long period here and volume hasn't really picked up that much, and usually what happens is well, in order to go up, the selling has to stop. So everybody who sold needs to have sold. But, as I said, we've been selling here since, well, sort of middle of December. It's been a very, very, very, very, very long time. So it does beg the question are we now just entering one of these consolidation phases here, which might take a while, because it isn't the same thing as as a rally, um, and? And that's optimistic, but I still think it's far too early for tesla. So if you want me to say, buy this, buy this, buy this right now. I'm not going to say that to you because it's not what I'm doing, and I can only tell you what I'm doing.