Pre-Market Analysis and Breakout Strategy

Speaker 1 0:00

Felix here and welcome to this very , very , very pre-market live . We're so excited that market's going to open again on Tuesday . I thought I'd do a live stream on a Monday , because what else do I do with my life ? No , but in all seriousness , I love these days off , actually , because it gives us a beautiful time way to reflect on some stuff , do a little bit of research , zoom out and that's exactly what I'm going to walk you through . I want to walk you through the four sectors here that are seeing massive buy interest . I then want to walk you through what mainstream media is going to be talking about tomorrow , probably , so you're better prepared and you understand what they are saying is the next big , great rally and why it may be and why it may not be . So you are really really well prepared . And then a bit of a bit of time to actually just answer questions . Literally ask me anything in the chat and and we'll , we'll , we'll walk through it , um . But first of all , I asked you a poll here in the in the chat , and a lot of you guys have already answered that , that and um . That's great and I'll get to that in a second . That is actually there for a reason . It isn't that just there , randomly , I want to walk you through something very , very cool which I think will be enormously well . Certainly for me has been enormously life-changing once I really really understood this . So shall we get going ? I think we should get going .

Speaker 1 1:17

Let me share my screen with you here . There we go Hedge funds just bought the most amount of material stocks , second fastest paced in history . Maybe you think that's really dull , because who cares about material stocks ? But what does it say to you ? It says well , two things . One they expect likely more tariffs on non-US goods , and that's where they think US material prices could go up . So part of that is tariffs . And the second thing would also be growth . They expect the US economy to grow and for there to be significant investment into industrial stuff that uses materials , construction and so on .

Speaker 1 2:00

So it's Winston sleeping today . He's literally sitting right behind me , but he's refusing to sit up . Winston , sit , sit , sit up , up , up there . We go . There he is , you see , in all his glory . You can go back to sleep . Now , winston , the operations , obviously . So Winston is sleeping . Yes , say that again . Let me share my screen again . While Winston snuggles back in there , he goes Off . He is Annoyed that I interrupted his perfect snooze on the sofa .

Speaker 1 2:35

Let me show you a couple of things . I've been talking about this one here for since September . I'd say Maybe a little earlier than that , I can't remember . I think we really got in on this in September .

Speaker 1 2:48

Some of the stocks that I share with you guys inside the coaching community , and this is financials . I picked any random financial ETF . This one's called VFH . Basically , it attracts banks and mortgages and so on . And , by the way , if you find it useful to go through the stuff that's really , really trending or about to really really be trend again , let me know in the chat . Just let me know if you're finding it useful , just write useful or something like that .

Speaker 1 3:12

We had a breakout here in in late 2024 . And then what did we do ? Those of you guys who watched the masterclass you know we pretty much always do this right . We always go down a little bit and then we rally back up and we're doing exactly that . So it's been a really , really beautiful rally for our financial stocks , which people often don't think about . I mean , what have we got open at the moment ? And again , don't buy these just because I have . It's also all about timing . Obviously , foa I've got interactive brokers . These are stocks , not the actual broker at the moment . Okay , thanks for letting me know that , nick , jeff and Lloyd and Nicholas and all of that Brilliant . So there's lots of ways to play this . Mortgage stocks have just generally done very , very well as well , and that's all on this expectation that rates will come down and things will get better and bank regulation is going to be less .

Speaker 1 4:03

Now here is one that I thought might be controversial . Who hates ARK ? Who has lost money on Cathy's ARK fund ? And let me know , if you've lost money on ARK , write ARK in the chat . And , of course , most people did , because it's a very , very , very cyclical thing , and it completely collapsed going into 2022 from I don't know where I was trading , but it went down about 70% or something like that .

Speaker 1 4:32

Ark was a bag . So , scott , yeah , and by now I know you no longer hold bags but Scott , for example , I know you're one of my students , but even you guys who've just watched the masterclass , you'll be familiar with this pattern , right and then you sort of draw a line across that here , something like that , and then you spot the , what , you spot the breakout and guess what ? We got one . We got one at the end of 2024 . And that still looks very good actually , if you ask me , because we zigzagged up a little bit . We keep bouncing off the 50-day moving average line here . We had a marvelous day on friday , up something like six percent or something . So there is life again in innovation and , of course , arc isn't a company that is invested in a bunch of innovative stocks that are pretty high risk . They charge pretty extraordinary fees for doing so , but it's a good way , in one click , to capture a lot of high risk stuff , and high risk stuff is making a comeback , which is the way cycles work . So you don't want to own it down here because then , for literally two years almost almost three years right , all of 2022 , all of 2022 , actually three years For three years , you were a bag holder .

Speaker 1 5:45

You know what was the problem with being a bag holder for three years , who knows , who knows ? Three years , the last three years , how much has the market gone up by ? Anybody know . Anybody can look it up . My guess would be 65% plus . That would be my approximate guess . I might be off on that . That would have been the S&P .

Speaker 1 6:04

So the really boring chap that you work with . He's always a little gray and drives a Volvo and is very , very steady . He's up 65% and you , bag holder , are not up 65% , which means what it means ? You're actually down 65% , right , because he's going to go back in now having watched a master class and he's going to buy 65 more arc than you . So it's , it's not a good scenario that um doing that , um fox , exactly , you don't make money , um arc tom . Then , my friend , you're a , you're a bag holder . Sorry about that tom , but it about that Tom , but it's a harsh reality that we all have to learn . Well , don't have to learn , but I hope that you want to learn and I'll get back to that in a second .

Speaker 1 6:50

Here's another arc one . And again , you guys watched the master class . What are you starting to recognize ? You see this pattern , this beautiful little pattern , and then we draw a line across it and then here we're starting to pop right gap there . For the first time I've seen a major gap and I'm seeing also pretty significant volume .

Speaker 1 7:12

So early maybe to call the breakout , but it's . It's getting there and the whole higher risk cycle is going to come back and there's a lot of money to make it up , especially if you manage it . Well , ark sucks . You see , a lot of people I hate ARK and that's why it takes a long time for these kinds of stocks to go back up , because people really hate it , right ? But yeah , it's a sideways motion and it eventually breaks out and then you get these monstrous rallies because most people would have sold by now . Right , people give up on these things . Very few people have the patience of who was the chap with the patience here ? Tom Tom Baker . Who is the chap with the patience here ? Um , tom tom baker has a lot of patience . So that's an important thing .

Speaker 1 7:56

And that brings me also to a lot of you guys were saying you couldn't make the last master class , even though I did it live on a saturday , because I thought it would have been pretty useful for people and I appreciate it . All the people of you showed up about 2000 or so showed up um , so we're going to run another one live this week on thursday , and I'll walk you through exactly what we just touched upon here how do we spot those breakouts , how do we manage the positions and where do we sell , because you can miss out on the greatest rally in the world . But even worse is if you miss out on the exit where you could have taken this monstrous profit , and then you become Tom Baker Sorry , tom , I'm picking on you who then sits on a stock he's down on significantly for three years , which is just sort of like burying your head in the sand . Sorry , tom , I'm just going to pick on you a lot here today , but this happens to tens of thousands of people . So by the end of this live session , thursday 10 am , literally after our usual live pre-market spot , you will never do those things again . Tom , are you going to join me ? Are you going to join me ? Let me know . If you're going to join me live , write live in the chat . If you're going to join me live , you can sign up at felixfriendsorg slash webinar . Fox has already very kindly posted the link in the chat here . It's also down below in the description if you can't find it , and that's going to be super , super useful Now .

Developing Trading Skills for Long-Term Success

Speaker 1 9:18

Next , I want to talk to you about Tesla Palantir , yes , and we can also look at some of the other things out there , like BBAI , which keeps popping up here . But I want you to think about something Most of our brains have essentially been corrupted . We've been trained to get what now ? We want sort of satisfaction now , right , and that's why people you know they take drugs and drink and that kind of thing . But what I'm hoping is that we can accelerate the pace at which you can achieve something , and most people and that's why you're putting all these ticker symbols here in the chat you just want the stock tip today , right , and you keep hunting on YouTube and the internet and on social media and so on for that quick tip that makes you money today , right , all the markets are closed today . You're going to have to wait till tomorrow , but it's not the way I would approach it .

Speaker 1 10:22

And if you think about it , say , you're baking an apple pie or something I had a lovely apple pie yesterday and you can make the dough and you put the apples on and all that and you can put it in the oven . And the oven is meant to be I don't know what is it 400 degrees or something . But if you put the oven only up to 25 degrees , what do you get after an hour or two of the pie sitting in there ? Well , you get a warm mush , right , and that's honestly what most people actually do with their lives . Turn the dial up just a little bit , 25 degrees , and they do that versus actually really training your brain to change your skill level . Because it's easier , isn't it ? So it's easier to find one stock tip somewhere in the media and just hope that that's going to take you there , rather than actually learning , um , 15 minutes a day , something you might have . Well , that's literally what it would take you to learn the skill to make your money work for you and your family .

Speaker 1 11:21

And if you want to reap the rewards and if you want to stop gambling because , let's be honest , that's what most people are doing here right , like Tom , be honest . Right , you bought something you know , ark , because it was doing really well and then it collapsed and you had no real rules and getting in or getting out and and the market's going up , going , going up so much the last few years that it's been working some of the time . Right , the gambling thing . But imagine for a moment if you could actually have control over your portfolio . You're completely at ease , never worry and make more money . And if that's something that you might be interested in learning and acquiring that skill and that confidence , then join me on thursday live and I'll literally teach you that I can do that in the 90 minutes , two hours that we'll have together . Literally . So if you head over here phoenixfrancidogswebinar , I'll teach you exactly that . And I want to give you one more thing that I found insanely useful .